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Pakistan Launches Airstrikes on Targets in Iran

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The Spin

Anti-Iran narrative

Pakistan had every right to carry out retaliatory strikes on Iranian soil after Iran blatantly violated its national sovereignty to allegedly fight so-called "terrorists" on Pakistani territory. Moreover, Tehran has done nothing to prevent Baluch separatists from establishing safe havens on the Iranian side of the border. The violation of three states' territorial integrity within 48 hours makes it unmistakably clear that Tehran is deliberately stoking regional tensions over the Israel-Hamas war. The Iranian regime's irrational strategy threatens to trigger an all-out regional war, which could now also involve nuclear-armed Pakistan.

Pro-Iran narrative

Iran's attack against the Jaish al-Adl terrorists was the next act of self-defense after Tehran had already struck targets in Syria and Iraq's autonomous Kurdistan region in retaliation for recent anti-Iran aggression orchestrated by Israel's Mossad. Moreover, the Iranian strikes came after Tehran repeatedly called on Islamabad to take action against the cross-border anti-Iran operations of the Jaish al-Adl extremists — who also have links to Israel. While Tehran respects the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Pakistan and all other states, it will not stand idly by if its national security is jeopardized.

Metaculus Prediction


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