Sudan paramilitary group kills more than 200 people in three-day attack, activists say
GuardianFEB 5
Sudan: Human Rights Network Accuses Warring Sides of Executing Civilians
Above: Members of Sudan's Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in a security detail in the capital Khartoum on June 16, 2019. Image copyright: YASUYOSHI CHIBA/AFP/Contributor via Getty Images
The Spin
Narrative A
Even if both sides may have committed abuses in the war, they are not the same. It's clear that the RSF — a UAE-backed illegitimate militia that poses a threat to the sovereignty and the very existence of Sudan — is the greater evil. Hopefully, the armed forces will continue to make territorial gains and lead the country back to democracy.
Narrative B
That the senseless war in Sudan may be finally heading to an end is good news, but it's unlikely that Sudan will become a democracy any time soon. Neither warring side actually cares about the people and their will; quite the contrary, as the latest developments stress that they are merely war criminals fighting for power.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 52.2% chance that the Sudanese Armed Forces will come out as the victor in the Sudanese civil war, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
