UK: Reform Ahead of Labour for First Time in YouGov Poll
The Facts
Reform UK has reached its highest polling position ever, securing 25% (+2%) of voter support in the latest YouGov/Times survey, surpassing Labour at 24% (-3%), and the Conservatives at 21% (-1%). The Liberal Democrats are placed fourth with 14% (no change), with the Greens sitting at 9% (no change).
The data comes from approximately 2.5K adults surveyed between Feb. 2-3. YouGov states that there is a nine in ten chance that the true value of party support lies within four points of the polling results, and a two-in-three chance that the true value lies within two points.
Reform UK's strongest support comes from male voters at 29%, working-class voters at 30%, and shows particular strength in the Midlands region with 33% support while maintaining lower numbers in London at 13%.
The Spin
Left narrative
Reform UK taps into genuine working-class frustrations, exploiting real concerns about economic inequality and poor public services. But rather than offering constructive solutions, they rely on fear, division, and scapegoating vulnerable communities. If Starmer's Labour government fails to address these legitimate issues with meaningful reforms, it will leave the door wide open for Farage’s brand of populism to gain even more traction among those desperate for change.
Right narrative
Reform UK's surge in the polls is a clear sign that people are fed up with the same old establishment politics. For the first time in decades, there's a real alternative to the tired Tory and Labour parties. Under Nigel Farage’s leadership, Reform UK offers bold solutions to tackle the immigration crisis, restore British sovereignty, and rebuild the economy. This momentum shows the country is ready for real change, and it's time to get behind the movement that will deliver it.
