Does Kamala Harris Have a Vision for the Middle East?
AtlanticAUG 2024
US Approves $20B of Arms Sales to Israel
Above: An Israeli air force F-15 fighter jet lands at the Hatzerim air base, on March 30, 2009. Image copyright: Uriel Sinai/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images
The Spin
Pro-establishment narrative
The US is a committed ally of Israel and it is in the interests of the US to maintain Israel's strong national defense capabilities, particularly at a time when there are fears of a new regional conflict.
Establishment-critical narrative
Despite Israel's many violations of international law, America's rewarding of Israel with this weapons package sends all the wrong signals. It only encourages further criminality and stokes the fires of an already-tense political situation.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 93% chance that there will be 1K or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
