Hezbollah Names Naim Qassem as New Leader

Above: Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (R) meets Hezbollah then-Deputy Secretary General Sheikh Naim Qassem (L) in Tehran, Iran on July 30, 2024. Image copyright: Iranian Leader Press Office/Handout/Anadolu via Getty Images

The Facts

  • Hezbollah announced Naim Qassem as its new leader on Tuesday, following the Israeli killing of its longtime leader Hassan Nasrallah and his likely successor Hashem Safieddine. Israel has implied he would be assassinated soon "if he follows his predecessors."

  • Hezbollah said Qassem — one of the religious scholars who founded the group in the 1980s and has a long history in Shiite political activism — was elected to the position due to his "adherence to the principles and goals of Hezbollah."


The Spin

Pro-Israel narrative

Naim Qassem will have the same fate as his predecessor Hassan Nasrallah. After killing the long-time terror leader, Israel was swiftly able to eliminate his most likely successor, Hashem Safieddine, and it will not be difficult to locate Qassem, even if he has reportedly fled to Tehran in fear of Israel's might.

Anti-Israel narrative

Sheikh Naim will continue in the footsteps of those before him and continue Hezbollah's valiant resistance to Israel's aggression. Hezbollah has endured many painful blows in recent months, but it has remained steadfast and will continue defending Lebanon.


Metaculus Prediction


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