Britain Boosts Ukraine Aid, Signs Security Agreement Promising '100-Year Partnership'

Image copyright: Juan Medina - Pool/Getty Images News via Getty Images (Oct. 5, 2023)

The Facts

  • British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak on Friday traveled to Ukraine to meet counterpart Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Ahead of his arrival, Sunak's office pledged that Britain would increase military aid to Ukraine to £2.5B ($3.19B) for the next financial year — up by £200M ($255M) from the previous two years of spending.

  • Officials said most of the increased spending would be on British-made drones, adding that when the military package arrives in April, it will result in the largest delivery of drones to Ukraine by any country.


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

This latest move from the UK demonstrates that it continues to stand strong with Ukraine and will remain unwaveringly at its side. This agreement cements the strong bond between the nations and extends it for many years. It also demonstrates to Russia that Western support for Ukraine is not going away.

Establishment-critical narrative

Despite the façade of calm, after nearly two years of war, Ukraine is in serious danger. Not only are billions of dollars of military aid being held up in the EU and the US, Ukraine's mobilization law has reached a stumbling block and is becoming too toxic to handle. Furthermore, Ukraine says it needs 3M additional Ukrainians working in order to generate enough tax to pay the new troops.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO