Ukraine: Russian Drones Breach Kyiv's Missile Defenses

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The Facts

  • Amid reports suggesting that Ukraine's missile defense stockpiles are running low, Russia launched yet another wave of kamikaze drones at Kyiv and other Ukrainian regions in the early hours of Friday. The attack was the sixth to target the Ukrainian capital this month.

  • Vitali Klitschko, Kyiv's Mayor, said that a drone hit an apartment block south of the city center, triggering a fire that was quickly brought under control. Local officials added that a number of apartments were damaged between the 24th and 26th floors of the building. Two people were injured, one of whom was receiving treatment in hospital.


The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

The impact of the slowdown of Western arms to Ukraine is already being felt on the battlefield and observed in Ukraine's ability to defend itself from Russia's aerial attacks. While military aid is tied up in US Congress, Europe needs to step up and give Ukraine all the weapons it needs — not just enough to survive, but enough to put Russian Pres. Putin on the back foot and force him into negotiations.

Pro-Russia narrative

Attacks on Ukraine are a direct consequence of the failure of the country's leadership to meaningfully engage in peace talks, as well as the mistaken belief — being propped up by Western administrations — that the country can defeat Russia on the battlefield. These attacks will stop once a more sober position is reached.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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