Sudanese women describe being gang-raped in attacks by Arab forces
ReutersJUL 2023
The Spin
Narrative A
The low salaries of the Sudanese army are forcing the soldiers to turn to looting to make ends meet in a brutal civil conflict. The violence and economic crisis in the country has made crime necessary for many. This is another reason why conflict resolution must proceed immediately.
Narrative B
The looting and humiliation of impoverished civilians is unacceptable. This behavior, especially from the army, which is meant to maintain law and order in the cities without civilian law enforcement, must be held to full account. The Sudanese government is responsible for these actions, even in a time of turbulent civil conflict.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 50% chance that at least 10K people will die in the Sudan conflict in 2023, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
