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NBCJUL 2023
Russian Air Defense Destroyed in Further Attack on Crimea, Claims Ukraine
Image copyright: Wikimedia Commons
The Spin
Pro-Ukraine narrative
A Russian missile defense system was destroyed in a significant and successful Ukrainian attack on Yevpatoria on Thursday. Evidently, despite propagandist Kremlin claims to the contrary, the peninsula is vulnerable to attack and is less secure than Moscow would have its supporters believe.
Pro-Russia narrative
Russian air defenses shot down 11 drones in Thursday's attack on Crimea and there were no reports of damage resulting from the incident. Kyiv's claims of success come from a place of desperation, as their prospects of military victory continue to dwindle in the face of Russian forces.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 1% chance that Ukraine will officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory (Luhansk, Donetsk or Crimea) as independent before 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
