Report: Evidence Suggests Ukraine Responsible for Deadly Donetsk Strike

Image copyright: National Police of Ukraine [via Wikimedia Commons]

The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

Russia was responsible for this heinous attack on Kostiantynivka that killed at least a dozen civilians and injured scores more. It's a further demonstration of Russia's use of terrorism against Ukraine.

Establishment-critical narrative

An analysis of the evidence suggests that Ukraine was in fact responsible for the missile that struck Kostiantynivka. This was likely the result of an errant missile which veered off direction.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 1% chance that Ukraine will officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory (Luhansk, Donetsk, or Crimea) as independent before 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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