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Global ResearchJUL 2023
NATO Official Suggests Ukraine Can Cede Territory for Membership
Image copyright: [via NATO Press Office]
The Spin
Establishment-critical narrative
Any talk of Ukraine giving up its territory to secure a peace deal is unacceptable. NATO should be working to ensure that Ukraine has all the weapons it needs to successfully repel Russia from all its territories — not making statements that favor the enemy.
Pro-establishment narrative
NATO fully supports Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity. These were simply off-hand remarks that suggested a hypothetical of how the war may end, but the input to a solution is Ukraine's to make.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 1% chance that Ukraine will join NATO before 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
