Kremlin Threatens to Confiscate EU Assets

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The Facts

  • On Sunday, Russia's State Duma chairman warned that the Kremlin would confiscate assets belonging to EU states if the bloc utilizes the country's "frozen funds in order to continue militarizing Kyiv."

  • Threatening to take retaliatory action for any EU attempt to employ Russian assets to support Ukraine's post-war reconstruction, Vyacheslav Volodin said, "far more assets belonging to unfriendly countries will be confiscated than our frozen funds in Europe."


The Spin

Anti-Russia narrative

The US, UK, and EU have already poured billions of dollars, euros, and pounds into military, humanitarian, and financial assistance for Ukraine. However, as Russia is responsible for the massive damage caused by its war of aggression against Ukraine, Moscow should ultimately foot the bill for Ukraine's long-term reconstruction — an endeavor the World Bank estimates will require at least $434B (€411B).

Pro-Russia narrative

The Russian Central Bank's assets are sovereign and, therefore, protected under international law from confiscation and expropriation. Moscow will interpret any move to use the country's funds as an unlawful and defiantly unfriendly attack. If the West fails to adhere to the principles of an open economy, the Kremlin will have the right to take retaliatory actions to protect its assets.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO