Dutch PM Rutte Meets King After Government Collapse

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The Facts

  • Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte met King Willem-Alexander of the Netherlands on Saturday to discuss forming a caretaker administration, a day after he offered the resignation of his coalition government in writing amid a dispute over migration.

  • Talks lasted about an hour and a half, with the country's longest-serving prime minister — in power since 2010 — stating that the confidential discussions with the monarch were positive.


The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

While parties in the coalition have long disagreed on the asylum issue, the VVD is to blame for this breakdown as it forced Rutte to push a tougher policy to appease dissent in his own ranks. As anti-government feeling has skyrocketed in the country and modern tensions have ripped the political playbook, snap elections are a golden opportunity for those challenging the status quo in the Netherlands.

Pro-establishment narrative

It's certain that the Farmers-Citizen Movement came from nowhere to become a political powerhouse, but Rutte is not nicknamed "Teflon" for nothing. Despite collapsing the coalition, his hard line on migration is a vote-winner, and he's likely to be backed by establishment parties. Given that he has returned to power on the three previous occasions he has resigned, another victory wouldn't be a surprise.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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