Trump’s Company Is Guilty of Tax Fraud, a Blow to the Firm and the Man
New York TimesJUL 2022
The Spin
Pro-Trump narrative
This case was just another attempt to undermine Trump and his organization with frivolous lawsuits. Weisselberg had already pleaded guilty and is the clear culprit behind the alleged scheme, yet the former president's opposition is quick to use this as a weapon against him. Democrats seemingly won’t stop until they’ve bled Trump dry via legal warfare.
Democratic narrative
Attempts to separate Trump from the fraud committed by his company are naïve. While the former president may not be on trial in this particular case, there's no doubt that the businessman was fully aware of Weisselberg's — and the rest of the company's — doings. The defense had a losing case from the start.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 36% chance that any US court will rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
