The Associated Press

Yemen Houthis Iran War Red Sea Battle E32Ed78Eb9B528642D043D4303192927

Ynet

Report: Iranian advisers helped direct Houthi blitz that seized Yemens Red Sea coast

India Today

Houthis seize Yemen Red Sea coast as Iranian advisers steer lightning assault

Iran International

IRGC forces on ground helped Houthis seize Yemens Red Sea coast - AP

The Hindu

Iranian advisers helped Houthis seize Yemen's Red Sea coast in less than 48 hours: report

The Times of Israel

Iranian Guards In Yemen Directed Houthi Blitz On Key Red Sea Cities Sources Say

Irans Support of the Houthis: What to Know

Anadolu Agency

Yemen says it is not Iranian bargaining chip, ties with Saudi Arabia firm

BBC News

Iran must stop arming Houthis in Yemen, G7 says ahead of UN General Assembly

The National

G7 calls on Iran to end its support for Houthis

Brookings

The danger of calling the Houthis an Iranian proxy

Thecradle.Co

US intelligence concludes: Iran does not dictate Yemeni actions

Yemens Houthis vow to continue Red Sea attacks, defying Iran's plea for calm

Metaculus

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Alex Vatanka

Mona Yacoubian

Daniel Byman

Polymarket

Kalshi

J.P. Morgan

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Mossad Commentary

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Victor Davis Hanson

Witold Repetowicz

Mehdi Parpanchi

Mohammed M. Hafez

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"Current and former U.S. officials say they see little sign, at least so far, of a mass popular uprising in Iran or of significant fissures within the government or security forces that will result in a new regime."

"There is an 11% chance that the Iranian government will lose power before 2027."

"There is an 8.9% chance that the Iranian regime will collapse and Reza Pahlavi will become head of state before January 1, 2027."

"There is an 19% chance that the Iranian regime will fall before 2027."

"Regime change is possible but unlikely."

"In any case, the Islamic Republic faces a significant challenge, and its long-term survival is not assured."

"Regime collapse or irreversible degradation is more likely than regime survival (65% likelihood)."

“The regime cannot continue that long.”

"If Trump sees it through, and I think he will, I think they're [going to] fall pretty soon, in two, three, four weeks."

"I think the regime will collapse before Iranian New Year (Nowruz), which is March 20th."

Will the Islamic Republic of Iran Experience Regime Collapse by 2027?

CSIS

Neil Quilliam

Sanam Vakil

Matthew Kroenig

Victoria J. Taylor

Laura James

Pratibha Thaker

Catherine Ashton

Jessica Genauer

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Eric Lob

Amr Hamzawy

Mohammad Ayatollahi Tabaar

"We may be entering a new era of protracted conflict—with Iran at the center of it."

"Any deal will be at best fragile, or at worst impossible."

"Tehran probably perceives the ceasefire as a pause in hostilities rather than anything permanent, and it is preparing for renewed conflict accordingly."

"A lasting settlement remains unlikely because Iran wants continued leverage over the Strait of Hormuz and cannot accept an outcome portrayed as a U.S. victory. "

"A comprehensive settlement is unlikely to emerge quickly."

"There is a possibility that this ceasefire could pave the way for a more permanent deal, but it is more likely this will be a temporary and fragile understanding that will, in the best-case scenario, prevent renewed war through the end of this administration."

"I think that this probably will lead to a cessation of hostilities, but it's unlikely to lead to a full agreement that really satisfies everything that on the one hand, the Trump administration would like and on the other hand that the Iranian regime would like, because I think that the two sides just still sit too far apart."

“The most likely negotiation outcome is an ambiguous version of the cease-fire continuing indefinitely, which, while unseemly, is better than the alternative,”

"I suspect it will hold because both sides have a strong economic incentive to get energy flowing to global markets."

"There is a 99% chance that U.S. x Iran will reach a permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026."

Will the US and Iran Establish a Lasting Ceasefire Before 2027?

Houthi rebels <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2026/houthis-seize-yemens-entire-red-sea-coastline">seized Yemen's Red Sea coast </a>from pro-government forces in under 48 hours, with Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) advisers allegedly directing the battle in the field, people familiar with the offensive told The Associated Press.

Houthi rebels seized Yemen's Red Sea coast from pro-government forces in under 48 hours, with Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) advisers allegedly directing the battle in the field, people familiar with the offensive told The Associated Press.

The AP interviewed 10 officials and soldiers for its report, including a senior Houthi official, two regional officials, a top Yemeni military commander and a member of Yemen's presidential council, all speaking anonymously.

The AP interviewed 10 officials and soldiers for its report, including a senior Houthi official, two regional officials, a top Yemeni military commander and a member of Yemen's presidential council, all speaking anonymously.

The 115-kilometer (75-mile) advance <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2026/yemen-fighting-displaces-k-thousands-flee-to-djibouti">exploited divisions among government-aligned forces</a>. The Houthis breached the internal communications of the National Resistance, which fields about 30,000 fighters, allowing them to track its movements.

The 115-kilometer (75-mile) advance exploited divisions among government-aligned forces. The Houthis breached the internal communications of the National Resistance, which fields about 30,000 fighters, allowing them to track its movements.

National Resistance leader Lt. Gen. Tariq Saleh fled to Saudi Arabia, and <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2026/yemen-death-toll-tops-as-fighting-escalates">Mokha was abandoned overnight</a> before the Houthis entered unopposed on Sept. 10. The force said it lost 500 fighters, a figure the AP could not independently verify.

National Resistance leader Lt. Gen. Tariq Saleh fled to Saudi Arabia, and Mokha was abandoned overnight before the Houthis entered unopposed on Sept. 10. The force said it lost 500 fighters, a figure the AP could not independently verify.

G7 foreign ministers from the U.S., U.K., Canada, France, Germany, Italy and Japan called on Iran Monday to "<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2023/iran-agrees-to-stop-arming-houthis-in-yemen">end its arming of and support</a>" for the Houthis, and urged the group to halt attacks on civilian shipping.

G7 foreign ministers from the U.S., U.K., Canada, France, Germany, Italy and Japan called on Iran Monday to "end its arming of and support" for the Houthis, and urged the group to halt attacks on civilian shipping.

Yemeni Foreign Minister Afrah al-Zouba said Saturday the country is not an "Iranian bargaining chip," while Trump envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Iranian officials in New York on Tuesday to discuss ending the war.

Yemeni Foreign Minister Afrah al-Zouba said Saturday the country is not an "Iranian bargaining chip," while Trump envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Iranian officials in New York on Tuesday to discuss ending the war.

The Associated Press #

Ynet #

India Today #

Iran International #

The Hindu #

The Times of Israel #

CFR #

Anadolu Agency #

BBC News #

The National #

Brookings #

Thecradle.Co #

Metaculus #

Houthi rebels <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2026/houthis-seize-yemens-entire-red-sea-coastline">seized Yemen's Red Sea coast </a>from pro-government forces in under 48 hours, with Iranian Revolutionary Guard advisers allegedly directing the battle in the field, people familiar with the offensive told The Associated Press.

Houthi rebels seized Yemen's Red Sea coast from pro-government forces in under 48 hours, with Iranian Revolutionary Guard advisers allegedly directing the battle in the field, people familiar with the offensive told The Associated Press.

The AP interviewed 10 officials and soldiers for its account, including a senior Houthi official, two regional officials, a top Yemeni military commander and a member of Yemen's presidential council, all speaking anonymously.

The AP interviewed 10 officials and soldiers for its account, including a senior Houthi official, two regional officials, a top Yemeni military commander and a member of Yemen's presidential council, all speaking anonymously.

National Resistance leader Lt. Gen. Tariq Saleh fled to Saudi Arabia, and <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2026/yemen-death-toll-tops-as-fighting-escalates">Mokha was abandoned overnight</a> before the Houthis entered unopposed Sept. 10. The force said it lost 500 fighters, a figure the AP could not independently verify.

National Resistance leader Lt. Gen. Tariq Saleh fled to Saudi Arabia, and Mokha was abandoned overnight before the Houthis entered unopposed Sept. 10. The force said it lost 500 fighters, a figure the AP could not independently verify.

Iran's Revolutionary Guard officers stood on Yemeni soil directing the blitz that handed the Houthis the Red Sea coast in under 48 hours, and pretending otherwise is willful blindness. Tehran supplied the missiles, drones, satellite intelligence and battlefield commanders that turned a stalled militia into a force choking Saudi oil exports. Cut off Iran's weapons pipeline and the Houthi threat shrinks.

Iran's Revolutionary Guard officers stood on Yemeni soil directing the blitz that handed the Houthis the Red Sea coast in under 48 hours, and pretending otherwise is willful blindness. Tehran supplied the missiles, drones, satellite intelligence and battlefield commanders that turned a stalled militia into a force choking Saudi oil exports. Cut off Iran's weapons pipeline and the Houthi threat shrinks.

Calling the Houthis an Iranian puppet is a comforting fiction that guarantees failure. Even U.S. spy agencies found no evidence that Tehran dictates their operations, and the group has openly defied Iranian pleas to de-escalate, built its own weapons from Chinese parts and struck unilateral cease-fires against Iran's wishes. Squeezing Tehran solves nothing when the decisions are made in Sanaa.

Calling the Houthis an Iranian puppet is a comforting fiction that guarantees failure. Even U.S. spy agencies found no evidence that Tehran dictates their operations, and the group has openly defied Iranian pleas to de-escalate, built its own weapons from Chinese parts and struck unilateral cease-fires against Iran's wishes. Squeezing Tehran solves nothing when the decisions are made in Sanaa.

There is a 20% chance that state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia will cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There is a 20% chance that state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia will cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

The US-Iran Conflict

The Yemen Crisis

Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images

Report: Iran Allegedly Guided Houthi Blitz on Yemen's Red Sea Coast

Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images

Report: Iran Allegedly Guided Houthi Blitz on Yemen's Red Sea Coast

Iran

Yemen

Yemen war

IRGC officers stood on Yemeni soil directing the blitz that handed the Houthis the Red Sea coast in under 48 hours, and pretending otherwise is willful blindness. Tehran supplied the missiles, drones, satellite intelligence and battlefield commanders that turned a stalled militia into a force choking Saudi oil exports. Indeed, the link between Iran and the Houthis must be broken at all cost to prevent further Houthi advances.

IRGC officers stood on Yemeni soil directing the blitz that handed the Houthis the Red Sea coast in under 48 hours, and pretending otherwise is willful blindness. Tehran supplied the missiles, drones, satellite intelligence and battlefield commanders that turned a stalled militia into a force choking Saudi oil exports. Indeed, the link between Iran and the Houthis must be broken at all cost to prevent further Houthi advances.

Report: Iran Allegedly Guided Houthi Blitz on Yemen's Red Sea Coast

Report: Iran Allegedly Guided Houthi Blitz on Yemen's Red Sea Coast

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Report: Iran Allegedly Guided Houthi Blitz on Yemen's Red Sea Coast

Report: Iran Allegedly Guided Houthi Blitz on Yemen's Red Sea Coast

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