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"We may be entering a new era of protracted conflict—with Iran at the center of it."

"Any deal will be at best fragile, or at worst impossible."

"Tehran probably perceives the ceasefire as a pause in hostilities rather than anything permanent, and it is preparing for renewed conflict accordingly."

"A lasting settlement remains unlikely because Iran wants continued leverage over the Strait of Hormuz and cannot accept an outcome portrayed as a U.S. victory. "

"A comprehensive settlement is unlikely to emerge quickly."

"There is a possibility that this ceasefire could pave the way for a more permanent deal, but it is more likely this will be a temporary and fragile understanding that will, in the best-case scenario, prevent renewed war through the end of this administration."

"I think that this probably will lead to a cessation of hostilities, but it's unlikely to lead to a full agreement that really satisfies everything that on the one hand, the Trump administration would like and on the other hand that the Iranian regime would like, because I think that the two sides just still sit too far apart."

“The most likely negotiation outcome is an ambiguous version of the cease-fire continuing indefinitely, which, while unseemly, is better than the alternative,”

"I suspect it will hold because both sides have a strong economic incentive to get energy flowing to global markets."

"There is a 99% chance that U.S. x Iran will reach a permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026."

Will the US and Iran Establish a Lasting Ceasefire Before 2027?

Speaking to the U.N. General Assembly on Tuesday, President Donald Trump said he faces a "big decision" on Iran: reaching a deal that would let it rebuild, or annihilating the Islamic Republic "and do it quickly."

Speaking to the U.N. General Assembly on Tuesday, President Donald Trump said he faces a "big decision" on Iran: reaching a deal that would let it rebuild, or annihilating the Islamic Republic "and do it quickly."

Trump predicted an agreement with Tehran would come after the Nov. 3 midterm elections, saying Iranian leaders were waiting to see how he performed at the polls. He added that he is not running and that the vote "doesn't even enter my mind."

Trump predicted an agreement with Tehran would come after the Nov. 3 midterm elections, saying Iranian leaders were waiting to see how he performed at the polls. He added that he is not running and that the vote "doesn't even enter my mind."

A CNN/SSRS poll released Tuesday found 71% of voters disapprove of Trump's handling of foreign affairs and 76% said the Iran war was not worth its cost in American lives and money. Nearly two-thirds said the U.S. is not winning the conflict.

A CNN/SSRS poll released Tuesday found 71% of voters disapprove of Trump's handling of foreign affairs and 76% said the Iran war was not worth its cost in American lives and money. Nearly two-thirds said the U.S. is not winning the conflict.

During the 37-minute address, Trump called on other nations to enforce complete economic isolation of Iran until it halts attacks on commercial shipping, abandons nuclear ambitions and ends support for terrorism.

During the 37-minute address, Trump called on other nations to enforce complete economic isolation of Iran until it halts attacks on commercial shipping, abandons nuclear ambitions and ends support for terrorism.

Trump rejected what he called a "globalist scheme" to control artificial intelligence, urged leaders to call the technology "superintelligence" and said he would not stifle growth of something he predicted would be bigger than the Industrial Revolution.

Trump rejected what he called a "globalist scheme" to control artificial intelligence, urged leaders to call the technology "superintelligence" and said he would not stifle growth of something he predicted would be bigger than the Industrial Revolution.

Trump also defended the January raid that captured Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro, called drug cartels "the ISIS of the Western Hemisphere" and described Cuba as a failed state. Cuban delegates walked out of the hall during his remarks.

Trump also defended the January raid that captured Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro, called drug cartels "the ISIS of the Western Hemisphere" and described Cuba as a failed state. Cuban delegates walked out of the hall during his remarks.

Trump at United Nations: Iran Deal or 'Annihilation'

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Trump at United Nations: Iran Deal or 'Annihilation'

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