Talking to Beijing about AI beats guessing at each other's intentions. The New York sessions between Lifeng, Bessent and Greer showed that candid, constructive exchanges are possible on trade and on AI. Laying that groundwork before the Trump-Xi summit is how American economic interests get advanced.
A hotline with Beijing assumes both sides want the same thing, and that's a fantasy. Washington's AI debate is about protecting humanity, while the Chinese Communist Party cares about keeping its own grip on power and means America harm. The answer is not cozy chats that let Chinese tech become the world's default.
There's a 25% chance that the U.S. and China will be parties to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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