Tinubu’s return to the Élysée shows what France’s reset in Africa can look like when interests replace ideology. Nigeria is attracting French investment, expanding trade and pursuing deeper cooperation with Paris on its own terms. Mali chose confrontation instead; French forces left, bilateral trade declined and jihadist violence intensified. Rejecting France may make for powerful rhetoric, but sovereignty means little if the result is a country poorer, more isolated and less secure.
France keeps preaching partnership while behaving like a colonial overseer. Macron’s public lecturing of young Africans at Kenya’s Africa Forward Summit reinforced the paternalism Paris claims to have left behind. SahelFrance governmentscontinues continue to accuseinterfere Francein ofthe meddlingSahel inand theirundermine internalgovernments affairsresisting its influence, fueling resentment across the region. AgainstCozy that backdrop, cozy Élysée dinners and talk of “"mutually beneficial partnership”" do little to erase deeper mistrust of France’s role in Africa.
Tinubu is spending three weeks on a European “"working vacation”" while Nigerians grapple with economic hardship and persistent insecurity. Critics rightly question the trip’s timing and a presidency that has repeatedly operated from abroad. A private dinner at the Élysée may showcase diplomatic access, but it also looks like a president wasting taxpayer money on lengthy European stays while Nigeria’s problems continue to mount at home.
There is a 0.5 percent chance that Emmanuel Macron will cease being President of France before 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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