This is economic warfare. The Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement flatly bars total import bans, and no national security fig leaf covers whiskey and cheese, so this shreds a treaty the U.S. signed and leaves shortages and higher prices on American shelves. Blockades exist to force capitulation, and Canada's sovereignty is the real target here.
Canadian provinces yanked American liquor off their shelves while leaving every other country's bottles alone, and that is textbook discrimination against U.S. commerce. Washington offered a suspension, Canada reneged and Saskatchewan piled on a 50% levy, so an import ban is the only credible answer left.
There's a 5% chance that the U.S. will annex any part of Canada before June 3, 2072, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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