Controversy
Donald Trump
Justin Trudeau
Mélanie Joly
Pierre Poilievre
Doug Ford
Mark Carney
Mike Waltz
Max Boot
+3
Status:Open

Will Canada Join the United States of America as the 51st State?

UNLIKELYLIKELY

Claims

Pierre Poilievre
Pierre Poilievre"Canada will never be the 51st [US] state."Mar 26, 2025
Mike Waltz
Mike Waltz"I think that the Canadian people, many of them, would love to join the United States with no tariffs, with lower taxes."Feb 10, 2025
Mark Carney
Mark Carney"America is not Canada, and Canada never, ever will be part of America in any way, shape or form."Mar 13, 2025
Justin Trudeau
Justin Trudeau"There isn't a snowball's chance in hell that Canada would become part of the United States."Mar 26, 2025
Metaculus
MetaculusWill the U.S. annex any part of Canada before June 3, 2072?
Donald Trump
Donald Trump"I think Canada would be much better off being a 51st state because we lose $200 billion a year with Canada, and I'm not gonna let that happen."Feb 09, 2025
David Cohen
David Cohen"It's just not something that's going to happen."Mar 26, 2025
Anita Anand
Anita Anand"There will be no messing with the 49th parallel [the US-Canadian border], period."Feb 08, 2025
David Eby
David EbyWe "will never sacrifice our identity or independence to any other country in the world."Jan 09, 2025
Doug Ford
Doug Ford"It's [Trump's plan to annex Canada] not realistic."Feb 13, 2025
Donald Trump
Donald Trump"The artificial line of separation [between Canada and the US] drawn many years ago will finally disappear."Mar 12, 2025
Doug Ford
Doug Ford"Canada is not for sale and will never be the 51st [US] state."Mar 13, 2025
Mélanie Joly
Mélanie Joly"We are not going to be annexed [by the US]."Jan 09, 2025
Max Boot
Max Boot"Barring a military blitzkrieg to seize Ottawa, the chances of Canada becoming the 51st state are approximately zero."Mar 20, 2025
Donald Trump
Donald Trump"Yeah, it is [a real thing]."Mar 30, 2025
Marc Miller
Marc Miller"There is no chance of us becoming the 51st [US] state."Jan 09, 2025
John Bolton
John Bolton"If he [Donald Trump] wanted Canada — if he really wanted it — he's harmed the prospects of Canada being the 51st state by the way he's approached it."Mar 15, 2025
Francois-Philippe Champagne
Francois-Philippe Champagne"No one can question the sovereignty of Canada."Feb 08, 2025
Dominic LeBlanc
Dominic LeBlancAny attempt to make Canada the 51st US state is "not going [to go] anywhere."Jan 08, 2025
Donald Trump
Donald Trump"If people wanted to play the game right, it would be 100% certain that they'd become a [US] state."Feb 13, 2025

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