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US strikes Iranian rocket launchers near Hormuz, IRGC vows retaliation

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US forces strike two Iranian missile launchers on Larak Island

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Iran International

Live - Iran launches missiles after US strikes Larak island

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Ynet

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TASS

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CNBC

Oil rises over 1% after U.S. forces strike two Iranian rocket launchers on Larak Island

Al Jazeera

IRGC attacks US bases in Jordan after US bombs Larak Island

BBC News

US strikes Iranian launchers on Larak Island in first known attack in weeks

The Times of Israel

Jordanian army says it downed eight missiles, after Iran’s IRGC claims attack on US forces

Metaculus

Will A New Oil Or Gas Pipeline Bypassing Hormuz Become Operational Before 2031

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"I wouldn't think that we would have supply chain shocks."

"There's unlikely to be a food shortage."

"We don't have shortages right now, nor should we expect any in these areas [agricultural products]."

"That [the decreasing flow of container ships from China to the US] will lead to empty shelves in stores."

"The consequence [of Trump's trade policies] will be empty shelves in US stores in a few weeks and Covid-like shortages."

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"Empty shelves coming to you soon."

"Like back during Covid where we had shortages of toilet paper, we are going to start seeing that in more and more goods."

"Well, maybe the children will have two dolls instead of 30 dolls."

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"We may be entering a new era of protracted conflict—with Iran at the center of it."

"Any deal will be at best fragile, or at worst impossible."

"Tehran probably perceives the ceasefire as a pause in hostilities rather than anything permanent, and it is preparing for renewed conflict accordingly."

"A lasting settlement remains unlikely because Iran wants continued leverage over the Strait of Hormuz and cannot accept an outcome portrayed as a U.S. victory. "

"A comprehensive settlement is unlikely to emerge quickly."

"There is a possibility that this ceasefire could pave the way for a more permanent deal, but it is more likely this will be a temporary and fragile understanding that will, in the best-case scenario, prevent renewed war through the end of this administration."

"I think that this probably will lead to a cessation of hostilities, but it's unlikely to lead to a full agreement that really satisfies everything that on the one hand, the Trump administration would like and on the other hand that the Iranian regime would like, because I think that the two sides just still sit too far apart."

“The most likely negotiation outcome is an ambiguous version of the cease-fire continuing indefinitely, which, while unseemly, is better than the alternative,”

"I suspect it will hold because both sides have a strong economic incentive to get energy flowing to global markets."

"There is a 99% chance that U.S. x Iran will reach a permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026."

Will the US and Iran Establish a Lasting Ceasefire Before 2027?

U.S. forces struck two Iranian rocket launchers on Larak Island on Sunday, marking the first known American strikes on Iranian positions since late July. U.S. Central Command claimed Iran's IRGC personnel were observed preparing to launch rockets with sea mines into the Strait of Hormuz.

Guardian

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U.S. Central Command

U.S. forces struck two Iranian rocket launchers on Larak Island on Sunday, marking the first known American strikes on Iranian positions since late July. U.S. Central Command claimed Iran's IRGC personnel were observed preparing to launch rockets with sea mines into the Strait of Hormuz.

The IRGC said the U.S. strike on Larak Island killed and wounded several soldiers and civilians, and vowed retaliation. IRGC spokesman Hossein Mohebbi called the attack "a strategic and fatal mistake" and warned of consequences in both economic and military fields.

Tehran Times

The IRGC said the U.S. strike on Larak Island killed and wounded several soldiers and civilians, and vowed retaliation. IRGC spokesman Hossein Mohebbi called the attack "a strategic and fatal mistake" and warned of consequences in both economic and military fields.

Iran subsequently launched ballistic missiles at the King Hussein and Al Azraq U.S. military bases in Jordan in retaliation for the Larak Island strike. The IRGC claimed the attack "destroyed the infrastructure and enemy fighter deployment sites" at the two bases.

IRNA

Iran subsequently launched ballistic missiles at the King Hussein and Al Azraq U.S. military bases in Jordan in retaliation for the Larak Island strike. The IRGC claimed the attack "destroyed the infrastructure and enemy fighter deployment sites" at the two bases.

Jordan's armed forces said its air defense systems intercepted eight missiles that entered the country's airspace at dawn on Monday. A U.S. official told Al Jazeera that U.S. forces also helped intercept Iran's retaliatory missiles directed at Jordan.

Jordan's armed forces said its air defense systems intercepted eight missiles that entered the country's airspace at dawn on Monday. A U.S. official told Al Jazeera that U.S. forces also helped intercept Iran's retaliatory missiles directed at Jordan.

Oil prices rose more than 1% after the exchange of strikes; Brent crude climbed to $89.18 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate rose to $84.32. U.S. Central Command said its forces redirected 83 commercial vessels, disabled three others and boarded two, enforcing compliance with <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2026/us-reimposes-naval-blockade-on-iran">its naval blockade on Iran</a>.

Oil prices rose more than 1% after the exchange of strikes; Brent crude climbed to $89.18 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate rose to $84.32. U.S. Central Command said its forces redirected 83 commercial vessels, disabled three others and boarded two, enforcing compliance with its naval blockade on Iran.

This comes as only seven commodity vessels transited on Friday, compared with a 10-day average of roughly 15. Before the conflict began in late February, about one-fifth of the world's oil passed through the waterway.

This comes as only seven commodity vessels transited on Friday, compared with a 10-day average of roughly 15. Before the conflict began in late February, about one-fifth of the world's oil passed through the waterway.

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IRGC said the U.S. strike on Larak Island killed and wounded several soldiers and civilians, and vowed retaliation. IRGC spokesman Hossein Mohebbi called the attack "a strategic and fatal mistake" and warned of consequences in both economic and military fields.

IRGC said the U.S. strike on Larak Island killed and wounded several soldiers and civilians, and vowed retaliation. IRGC spokesman Hossein Mohebbi called the attack "a strategic and fatal mistake" and warned of consequences in both economic and military fields.

Iran, a failing nation full of violent people, was actively preparing to unleash sea mines into the strait, which makes the U.S. strike on Larak Island a necessary defensive move. Letting Iran get a nuclear weapon was never an option — Tehran's willingness to target Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Jordan proves how reckless the regime is.

Iran, a failing nation full of violent people, was actively preparing to unleash sea mines into the strait, which makes the U.S. strike on Larak Island a necessary defensive move. Letting Iran get a nuclear weapon was never an option — Tehran's willingness to target Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Jordan proves how reckless the regime is.

Iran's military is far from finished — the IRGC struck two U.S. airbases in Jordan with ballistic missiles and drones, hitting aircraft positions and technical infrastructure hard. The Iranian Navy remains fully operational and every U.S. strike will be met with heavier retaliation. Underestimating Iran's resolve is a serious miscalculation.

Iran's military is far from finished — the IRGC struck two U.S. airbases in Jordan with ballistic missiles and drones, hitting aircraft positions and technical infrastructure hard. The Iranian Navy remains fully operational and every U.S. strike will be met with heavier retaliation. Underestimating Iran's resolve is a serious miscalculation.

Trump's endless war in Iran is leaving Americans to bear the costs of tariffs, higher energy prices and government disruption. Cuts to federal agencies have already weakened essential safeguards, as costly attacks in Iran drain resources. Meanwhile, climate risks intensify. Instead of prioritizing affordability, security and stability, Trump is focused on politics, power and personal priorities.

Trump's endless war in Iran is leaving Americans to bear the costs of tariffs, higher energy prices and government disruption. Cuts to federal agencies have already weakened essential safeguards, as costly attacks in Iran drain resources. Meanwhile, climate risks intensify. Instead of prioritizing affordability, security and stability, Trump is focused on politics, power and personal priorities.

Steven Weintraub

There's an 80% chance that a newly constructed oil or natural gas pipeline intended to bypass the Strait of Hormuz will become fully operational before Jan. 1, 2031, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There's an 80% chance that a newly constructed oil or natural gas pipeline intended to bypass the Strait of Hormuz will become fully operational before Jan. 1, 2031, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

The Iran War

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Iran Attacks Airbases in Jordan After US Bombs Larak Island

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Iran Attacks Airbases in Jordan After US Bombs Larak Island

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Iran was actively preparing to unleash sea mines into the strait, which makes the U.S. strike on Larak Island a necessary defensive move. Letting Iran get a nuclear weapon was never an option — Tehran's willingness to target Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Jordan proves how reckless the regime is.

Iran was actively preparing to unleash sea mines into the strait, which makes the U.S. strike on Larak Island a necessary defensive move. Letting Iran get a nuclear weapon was never an option — Tehran's willingness to target Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Jordan proves how reckless the regime is.

Trump's endless war in Iran is leaving Americans to bear the costs of tariffs, higher energy prices and government disruption. Cuts to federal agencies have already weakened essential safeguards, as costly attacks in Iran drain resources.Trump is focused on politics, power and personal priorities.

Trump's endless war in Iran is leaving Americans to bear the costs of tariffs, higher energy prices and government disruption. Cuts to federal agencies have already weakened essential safeguards, as costly attacks in Iran drain resources.Trump is focused on politics, power and personal priorities.

Iran Attacks Airbases in Jordan After US Bombs Larak Island

Iran Attacks Airbases in Jordan After US Bombs Larak Island

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Iran Attacks Airbases in Jordan After US Bombs Larak Island

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