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Europe has allowed migration to become a geopolitical weapon, and Ceuta shows the price. Seventy thousand people do not cross a heavily guarded border in two days simply because Morocco lost control. Rabat has used border pressure as leverage before, turning migrants into human ammunition. Speculation over beneficiaries — from Morocco to Israel and Europe's far right — shows its destabilizing power. Europe created the vulnerability; others exploit it.
There is a 48 percent chance that Spain will hold a general election before May 23, 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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