Romania did the right thing by hitting the explosive sea drone. With workers on the platform and EU energy security on the line, hesitation would have been reckless. Russia's Black Sea pressure calls for tougher NATO patrols and faster action.
This incident belongs in the EU-wide hybrid warfare file, not the Romanian close-call file. A gas project meant to boost Europe's energy security needs a bigger drone shield, stronger Eastern Flank Watch and faster defense production. Deterrence beats scrambling after danger shows up.
There's a 3% chance that there will be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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