The Telegraph

Trump demands ‘reparations’ from Iran

HormuzReport

WendellPierce

thecyrusjanssen

Facebook

We let people in that we want to let in, President Trump said Monday on the Strait of Hormuz, reiterating that the United States Navy controls the international waterway. Those people come in and t

The Express Tribune

Iran ties Hormuz reopening to US concessions on several demands

PressTV

Iran Hormuz Strait Reopening Us Iran Security Chief 

IRIMFA_SPOX

The Epoch Times

Trump Says Iran Must Pay Compensation for US Soldiers Killed or Wounded

Scripps News

Trump now seeks compensation from Iran after it demanded US pay for cost of war

nicksortor

The Jerusalem Post

Donald Trump demands Iran compensate US for citizens injured by IRGC

New York Post

Trump responds to Irans outlandish demands to reopen Strait of Hormuz with a new red line

FOX News

Trump demands Iran compensate Americans and protesters after Tehran seeks war reparations

Al Jazeera

Trump demands compensation from Iran as talks on Strait of Hormuz continue

The Hill

Trump demands compensation for US from Iran

Daily Sabah

Trump demands Iran pay compensation for deaths, injuries

Metaculus

Non Test Nuclear Detonation In Iran Before 2027

Benjamin Netanyahu

Ali Khamenei

Masoud Pezeshkian

Scott Ritter

Kelsey Davenport

Rafael Mariano Grossi

Seyed Hossein Mousavian

Polymarket

Tulsi Gabbard

Mehdi Hasan

Tamir Hayman

Kamal Kharazi

Barry R McCaffrey

Iran Watch

Hui Zhang

War Monitor

S.L. Kanthan

The New York Times

"No, we're not thinking about nuclear weapons."

"We have no intention of obtaining these weapons at all."

"Iran doesn't have nukes, isn't building nukes, and hasn't made the decision to build nukes."

"Iran doesn't have a bomb, and doesn't appear to be trying to make a bomb."

"They are definitely going for a nuclear weapon there is no question."

"They can have [a nuclear weapon], you know, in a matter of months, I would say."

Iran could produce a nuclear weapon "within a few months, less than a year."

Will Iran Possess a Nuclear Weapon?

Alex Vatanka

Mona Yacoubian

Daniel Byman

Kalshi

J.P. Morgan

The Washington Post

Mossad Commentary

Neil Stone

Suzanne Maloney

Al Jazeera Centre for Studies

Victor Davis Hanson

Witold Repetowicz

Mehdi Parpanchi

Mohammed M. Hafez

Stimson Center

"Current and former U.S. officials say they see little sign, at least so far, of a mass popular uprising in Iran or of significant fissures within the government or security forces that will result in a new regime."

"There is an 11% chance that the Iranian government will lose power before 2027."

"There is an 8.9% chance that the Iranian regime will collapse and Reza Pahlavi will become head of state before January 1, 2027."

"There is an 19% chance that the Iranian regime will fall before 2027."

"Regime change is possible but unlikely."

"In any case, the Islamic Republic faces a significant challenge, and its long-term survival is not assured."

"Regime collapse or irreversible degradation is more likely than regime survival (65% likelihood)."

“The regime cannot continue that long.”

"If Trump sees it through, and I think he will, I think they're [going to] fall pretty soon, in two, three, four weeks."

"I think the regime will collapse before Iranian New Year (Nowruz), which is March 20th."

Will the Islamic Republic of Iran Experience Regime Collapse by 2027?

U.S. President Donald Trump on Monday demanded compensation from Iran for Americans killed or wounded in conflicts he attributed to Tehran, stating the requirement would be added to all future negotiations with the country.

Donald Trump

Truthsocial

U.S. President Donald Trump on Monday demanded compensation from Iran for Americans killed or wounded in conflicts he attributed to Tehran, stating the requirement would be added to all future negotiations with the country.

He additionally called for compensation to be paid to "the families of the hundreds of thousands of innocent protestors that Iran has killed over the last 50 years," and to 52,000 people he claimed had died in the past five months.

He additionally called for compensation to be paid to "the families of the hundreds of thousands of innocent protestors that Iran has killed over the last 50 years," and to 52,000 people he claimed had died in the past five months.

Trump further cited the October 2000 bombing of the USS Cole at a Yemeni port, which killed 17 sailors and wounded more than three dozen others, and deaths "caused to the people of Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, and Gaza!" The FBI has attributed the Yemen attack to al-Qaeda, not Iran.

Trump further cited the October 2000 bombing of the USS Cole at a Yemeni port, which killed 17 sailors and wounded more than three dozen others, and deaths "caused to the people of Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, and Gaza!" The FBI has attributed the Yemen attack to al-Qaeda, not Iran.

This comes after Iran's Supreme National Security Council stated over the weekend that <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2026/iran-issues-new-demands-to-reopen-strait-of-hormuz">the Strait of Hormuz would remain closed until the U.S. meets new conditions</a> including ending its naval blockade, withdrawing forces, lifting sanctions and paying war reparations.

This comes after Iran's Supreme National Security Council stated over the weekend that the Strait of Hormuz would remain closed until the U.S. meets new conditions including ending its naval blockade, withdrawing forces, lifting sanctions and paying war reparations.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said on Saturday that Iran and Oman were "very close" to a deal on a new shipping route through the strait, but added that conditions, including compensation for alleged U.S. violations of <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2026/trump-iran-sign-historic-ceasefire-deal-at-g">the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding</a>, would also apply.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said on Saturday that Iran and Oman were "very close" to a deal on a new shipping route through the strait, but added that conditions, including compensation for alleged U.S. violations of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, would also apply.

Trump claimed Monday that the U.S. military had cleared the Strait of Hormuz of mines and that the U.S. Navy held full control of the waterway. However, shipping data firms reported a sharp drop in vessel crossings over the preceding weekend.

CBS News

Trump claimed Monday that the U.S. military had cleared the Strait of Hormuz of mines and that the U.S. Navy held full control of the waterway. However, shipping data firms reported a sharp drop in vessel crossings over the preceding weekend.

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He also cited the October 2000 bombing of the USS Cole at a Yemeni port, which killed 17 sailors and wounded more than three dozen others, and deaths "caused to the people of Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, and Gaza!" The FBI has attributed the Yemen attack to al-Qaeda, not Iran.

He also cited the October 2000 bombing of the USS Cole at a Yemeni port, which killed 17 sailors and wounded more than three dozen others, and deaths "caused to the people of Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, and Gaza!" The FBI has attributed the Yemen attack to al-Qaeda, not Iran.

Iran wants $300 billion in damages while funding roadside bombs that killed American troops for decades — flipping that demand back is the only logical move. From the USS Cole to proxy wars across the Middle East, Iran owes compensation far beyond anything it's claiming. Putting that into every future negotiation isn't escalation, but accountability from a stubborn regime.

Iran wants $300 billion in damages while funding roadside bombs that killed American troops for decades — flipping that demand back is the only logical move. From the USS Cole to proxy wars across the Middle East, Iran owes compensation far beyond anything it's claiming. Putting that into every future negotiation isn't escalation, but accountability from a stubborn regime.

Nick Sortor

Such stupid threats have become America's default answer to every problem, and that's a failure of imagination, not a strategy. Iran has spent decades proving it won't buckle under U.S. pressure, and doubling down just burns whatever diplomatic leverage remains. Demanding compensation while refusing to negotiate in good faith is how a winnable situation turns into a humiliating stalemate.

Such stupid threats have become America's default answer to every problem, and that's a failure of imagination, not a strategy. Iran has spent decades proving it won't buckle under U.S. pressure, and doubling down just burns whatever diplomatic leverage remains. Demanding compensation while refusing to negotiate in good faith is how a winnable situation turns into a humiliating stalemate.

The Hormuz Report

Esmaeil Baqaei

Trump's Iran policy has become a historic failure, leaving the United States weaker, allies questioning American reliability and Iran seemingly dictating events. Billions have been spent with little to show for it, while military stockpiles and the economy face mounting pressure. His administration's shifting objectives expose strategic incompetence and dangerous hubris. Instead of strength, Trump has delivered uncertainty, embarrassment and potentially lasting damage to America's global standing.

Trump's Iran policy has become a historic failure, leaving the United States weaker, allies questioning American reliability and Iran seemingly dictating events. Billions have been spent with little to show for it, while military stockpiles and the economy face mounting pressure. His administration's shifting objectives expose strategic incompetence and dangerous hubris. Instead of strength, Trump has delivered uncertainty, embarrassment and potentially lasting damage to America's global standing.

Cyrus Janssen

Wendell Pierce

There's a 0.1% chance that there will be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There's a 0.1% chance that there will be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

The Iran War

The US-Iran Conflict

Eric Lee/Getty Images

Trump Demands Iran Pay Compensation for Deaths, Injuries

Eric Lee/Getty Images

Trump Demands Iran Pay Compensation for Deaths, Injuries

Politics

United States of America

Iran

Infantile threats like these have become America's default answer to every problem — this isn't a strategy. Iran has spent decades proving it won't buckle under U.S. pressure, and doubling down just burns whatever diplomatic leverage remains. Demanding compensation while refusing to negotiate in good faith is how a winnable situation turns into a humiliating stalemate.

Infantile threats like these have become America's default answer to every problem — this isn't a strategy. Iran has spent decades proving it won't buckle under U.S. pressure, and doubling down just burns whatever diplomatic leverage remains. Demanding compensation while refusing to negotiate in good faith is how a winnable situation turns into a humiliating stalemate.

Trump Demands Iran Pay Compensation for Deaths, Injuries

Trump Demands Iran Pay Compensation for Deaths, Injuries

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Trump Demands Iran Pay Compensation for Deaths, Injuries

Trump Demands Iran Pay Compensation for Deaths, Injuries

The Spin

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Hasan

Ritter

Monitor

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