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Climate change made Canadian wildfires in N.W.T. and Ontario roughly twice as likely, analysis finds

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"The clock is no longer just ticking, it is banging."

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Is Climate Change an Existential Threat?

A World Weather Attribution study released Thursday found that human-induced climate change made the extreme fire weather conditions behind Canada's 2026 wildfires roughly twice as likely to occur in Ontario and the Northwest Territories.

A World Weather Attribution study released Thursday found that human-induced climate change made the extreme fire weather conditions behind Canada's 2026 wildfires roughly twice as likely to occur in Ontario and the Northwest Territories.

More than 3.8 million hectares have burned across Canada this season, well above the 30-year annual average of 2.7 million hectares from 1994 to 2023, with roughly 94% of the total area burned occurring in the five weeks between late June and late July.

More than 3.8 million hectares have burned across Canada this season, well above the 30-year annual average of 2.7 million hectares from 1994 to 2023, with roughly 94% of the total area burned occurring in the five weeks between late June and late July.

Based on observational data, similar extreme fire weather is now expected every two to six years in the Northwest Territories and every six to 15 years in Ontario. In a world without climate change, such conditions would have occurred less than once every 40 years.

Based on observational data, similar extreme fire weather is now expected every two to six years in the Northwest Territories and every six to 15 years in Ontario. In a world without climate change, such conditions would have occurred less than once every 40 years.

Wildfire smoke affected more than 120 million people across the U.S. Midwest and Northeast, with air quality alerts stretching from Minnesota to New Hampshire. Smoke exposure has been linked to increased emergency health care use and higher rates of all-cause mortality.

Wildfire smoke affected more than 120 million people across the U.S. Midwest and Northeast, with air quality alerts stretching from Minnesota to New Hampshire. Smoke exposure has been linked to increased emergency health care use and higher rates of all-cause mortality.

U.S. President Donald Trump attributed the fires to Canada's forest mismanagement, saying July 21: "If they managed their forests, they wouldn't have the fires." When asked about punishing Canada, Trump told reporters on Air Force One he had decided on a punishment, adding "you'll find out about it soon."

U.S. President Donald Trump attributed the fires to Canada's forest mismanagement, saying July 21: "If they managed their forests, they wouldn't have the fires." When asked about punishing Canada, Trump told reporters on Air Force One he had decided on a punishment, adding "you'll find out about it soon."

Indigenous communities are disproportionately affected by the fires, accounting for 42% of Canada's wildfire evacuations between 1980 and 2021 despite making up roughly 5% of the population. Thirteen First Nations communities in Ontario were placed under evacuation orders this summer.

Indigenous communities are disproportionately affected by the fires, accounting for 42% of Canada's wildfire evacuations between 1980 and 2021 despite making up roughly 5% of the population. Thirteen First Nations communities in Ontario were placed under evacuation orders this summer.

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Study: Climate Change Caused Canada Wildfires

Study: Climate Change Caused Canada Wildfires

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Study: Climate Change Caused Canada Wildfires

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