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Secretary of State Marco Rubio at the ASEAN Post-Ministerial Conference with the United States

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Rubio reassures Asian allies they're not being abandoned as top diplomats meet

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"China has zero interest to invade Taiwan and has never threatened to invade Taiwan."

“I think we’ll be just fine with China. China doesn’t want to do that [invade Taiwan].”

"There's no indications or warnings of anything imminent [China attacking Taiwan] at this time."

a P.L.A. takeover of Taiwan is not inevitable nor, perhaps, even likely in the next few years."

"I wouldn't say war is likely in the next few years, but I wouldn't say it's unlikely over the next couple of decades."

"I think they (the Chinese) have intention, but absolutely I think we can get to the end of this decade without them committing major aggression against Taiwan."

"[T]here might indeed be some greater willingness by Beijing to coerce (or even invade) Taiwan during a Trump administration."

"An invasion of Taiwan could happen within this decade."

"Global Guardian thinks that the window for conflict or a blockade is now open, with that window most likely remaining open between 2024 and 2028."

"The idea is that anything we are working on, anything that we are investing in, needs to be built with the assumption that sometime in 2027, China is going to move on Taiwan."

“Taiwan is clearly one of [China's] ambitions before that and I think the threat is manifest during this decade — in fact, in the next six years.”

Will China Invade Taiwan by 2030?

Foreign ministers from Asia, Europe and North America gathered in Manila for the 33rd ASEAN Regional Forum, with the war in Iran and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz topping the agenda for the 11-nation bloc, whose combined GDP of roughly $3.8 trillion is heavily reliant on Middle East oil.

Foreign ministers from Asia, Europe and North America gathered in Manila for the 33rd ASEAN Regional Forum, with the war in Iran and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz topping the agenda for the 11-nation bloc, whose combined GDP of roughly $3.8 trillion is heavily reliant on Middle East oil.

ASEAN foreign ministers issued a joint statement calling for an immediate halt to fighting in the Middle East and the full and safe reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, reaffirming that states must resolve differences peacefully and respect national sovereignty and territorial integrity.

ASEAN foreign ministers issued a joint statement calling for an immediate halt to fighting in the Middle East and the full and safe reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, reaffirming that states must resolve differences peacefully and respect national sovereignty and territorial integrity.

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio met Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi on the sidelines of the ASEAN gathering on Wednesday, with both sides agreeing to prepare for a planned visit by Chinese President Xi Jinping to the U.S. in September.

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio met Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi on the sidelines of the ASEAN gathering on Wednesday, with both sides agreeing to prepare for a planned visit by Chinese President Xi Jinping to the U.S. in September.

Two separate incidents between Chinese and Philippine vessels occurred during the Manila meetings. On Monday, a Filipino sailor was struck on the head with a wooden baton at the Second Thomas Shoal, and on Thursday China's coast guard used water cannon on a Philippine fisheries vessel near Scarborough Shoal.

Two separate incidents between Chinese and Philippine vessels occurred during the Manila meetings. On Monday, a Filipino sailor was struck on the head with a wooden baton at the Second Thomas Shoal, and on Thursday China's coast guard used water cannon on a Philippine fisheries vessel near Scarborough Shoal.

Rubio met Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov on the sidelines of the forum for just under an hour to discuss the Ukraine war. Russia's foreign ministry said Lavrov reaffirmed Moscow's readiness for a diplomatic settlement, while Rubio said Washington was prepared to play a constructive role in ending the conflict.

Rubio met Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov on the sidelines of the forum for just under an hour to discuss the Ukraine war. Russia's foreign ministry said Lavrov reaffirmed Moscow's readiness for a diplomatic settlement, while Rubio said Washington was prepared to play a constructive role in ending the conflict.

On the sidelines of the forum, Rubio joined foreign ministers from India, Japan and Australia for a Quad meeting, reaffirming commitment to a free and open Indo-Pacific. Philippine Foreign Secretary Maria Theresa Lazaro opened the meetings urging member states to pursue collective action amid mounting geopolitical uncertainty.

On the sidelines of the forum, Rubio joined foreign ministers from India, Japan and Australia for a Quad meeting, reaffirming commitment to a free and open Indo-Pacific. Philippine Foreign Secretary Maria Theresa Lazaro opened the meetings urging member states to pursue collective action amid mounting geopolitical uncertainty.

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The US is holding the line on Iran while keeping Asian alliances rock solid — that's real leadership. Rubio made clear that warming ties with Beijing won't cost treaty partners like the Philippines a thing, even as China deploys water cannon at Scarborough Shoal. With the Strait of Hormuz blockaded and global oil supplies under threat, the ASEAN forum proved the US remains the indispensable partner in the Indo-Pacific.

The US is holding the line on Iran while keeping Asian alliances rock solid — that's real leadership. Rubio made clear that warming ties with Beijing won't cost treaty partners like the Philippines a thing, even as China deploys water cannon at Scarborough Shoal. With the Strait of Hormuz blockaded and global oil supplies under threat, the ASEAN forum proved the US remains the indispensable partner in the Indo-Pacific.

Maitland Mercury

Rubio reassures Asian allies they're not being deserted

Rubio's tough talk on Iran rings hollow when 12 straight nights of US strikes haven't stopped Houthi attacks on Saudi oil tankers or broken the Hormuz blockade. Meanwhile, China is running live-fire drills near Taiwan and deploying coast guard armadas across the South China Sea — and the best Washington offers is reassurances. The region deserves a coherent strategy, not a diplomatic road show.

Rubio's tough talk on Iran rings hollow when 12 straight nights of US strikes haven't stopped Houthi attacks on Saudi oil tankers or broken the Hormuz blockade. Meanwhile, China is running live-fire drills near Taiwan and deploying coast guard armadas across the South China Sea — and the best Washington offers is reassurances. The region deserves a coherent strategy, not a diplomatic road show.

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The Iran War

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ASEAN Talks: Diplomacy Amid Middle East, Asia Tensions

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United States of America

Iran has no legal right to control the Strait of Hormuz, and letting that stand would set a catastrophic precedent for international waterways everywhere. Freedom of navigation is the backbone of global trade, and a rogue regime holding 20 percent of the world's energy supply hostage cannot go unanswered. The U.S. is committed to diplomacy, but commitments must be kept — and when they aren't, there will be consequences.

Iran has no legal right to control the Strait of Hormuz, and letting that stand would set a catastrophic precedent for international waterways everywhere. Freedom of navigation is the backbone of global trade, and a rogue regime holding 20 percent of the world's energy supply hostage cannot go unanswered. The U.S. is committed to diplomacy, but commitments must be kept — and when they aren't, there will be consequences.

U.S. military aggression in the Middle East is fueling real economic pain across Southeast Asia, with energy shortages and price hikes hitting Malaysia and Thailand hard after the Strait of Hormuz closure. Pessimism about U.S. relations in the region has nearly doubled, and ASEAN nations are increasingly turning toward China and pushing for strategic autonomy. Threatening sovereignty under the banner of freedom of navigation isn't leadership — it's exactly why trust in Washington keeps eroding.

U.S. military aggression in the Middle East is fueling real economic pain across Southeast Asia, with energy shortages and price hikes hitting Malaysia and Thailand hard after the Strait of Hormuz closure. Pessimism about U.S. relations in the region has nearly doubled, and ASEAN nations are increasingly turning toward China and pushing for strategic autonomy. Threatening sovereignty under the banner of freedom of navigation isn't leadership — it's exactly why trust in Washington keeps eroding.

ASEAN Talks: Diplomacy Amid Middle East, Asia Tensions

ASEAN Talks: Diplomacy Amid Middle East, Asia Tensions

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ASEAN Talks: Diplomacy Amid Middle East, Asia Tensions

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