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“A collapse appears unlikely for now.”

"The collapse of the Iranian government remains unlikely in the near term."

"Our core assumption is that the regime will survive as long as its leaders and security forces retain the ability and willingness to suppress domestic unrest."

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"It's going to take a few different ingredients for the regime to fall," including "defections in the security services and cracks in the Islamic republic's political elite."

"What this heralds for the Islamic Republic in the near term is neither revolution nor collapse, but rather a slow-motion metastasis that is echoing across the political establishment, the economy, and society."

"Change now looks inevitable; regime collapse is possible but not guaranteed."

"If the regime does not fall this year, it may nonetheless enter a phase of irreversible weakening—one in which future shocks could prove far more difficult to absorb."

"The regime's chances of survival have reached a critical low, and its strategy of perseverance through coercion is being tested by a population that has largely lost faith in the state's ability to govern."

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U.S. President Donald Trump unexpectedly departed Turkey in the old Air Force One plane on Wednesday, later switching back to the new Qatar-gifted jet at a U.S. air base in Britain to complete his journey back to the states.

Donald Trump

U.S. President Donald Trump unexpectedly departed Turkey in the old Air Force One plane on Wednesday, later switching back to the new Qatar-gifted jet at a U.S. air base in Britain to complete his journey back to the states.

In a Truth Social post, Trump said the Qatar-gifted jet, which was <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2026/trump-unveils-qatargifted-boeing-as-new-air-force-one">officially unveiled last month</a> and made its first official international trip in taking Trump to Turkey, was sent to the Mildenhall base in Britain in advance to give U.S. service members a chance to tour the plane, further stating that the former Air Force One was used "for old time's sake."

In a Truth Social post, Trump said the Qatar-gifted jet, which was officially unveiled last month and made its first official international trip in taking Trump to Turkey, was sent to the Mildenhall base in Britain in advance to give U.S. service members a chance to tour the plane, further stating that the former Air Force One was used "for old time's sake."

However, with <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2026/trump-declares-ceasefire-with-scum-iranians-over">hostilities in Iran restarting as the president was in Turkey</a>, reporters aboard the flight questioned whether security issues prompted the change. Trump did not address specifics about the plane but said he was the "number one" target on Iran's alleged kill list, echoing remarks he'd made earlier in the day.

However, with hostilities in Iran restarting as the president was in Turkey, reporters aboard the flight questioned whether security issues prompted the change. Trump did not address specifics about the plane but said he was the "number one" target on Iran's alleged kill list, echoing remarks he'd made earlier in the day.

Soon after, sources who spoke to the New York Times and ABC News said the Secret Service urged the change as a precautionary measure, rather than being driven by a specific threat. Sources in both publications pointed to a difference in the security capabilities between the old and newer plane.

Soon after, sources who spoke to the New York Times and ABC News said the Secret Service urged the change as a precautionary measure, rather than being driven by a specific threat. Sources in both publications pointed to a difference in the security capabilities between the old and newer plane.

In a statement circulated to the press, Steven Cheung, the White House communications director, said: "The new Air Force One is a state-of-the-art aircraft that has been fitted with high-level security protocols that ensure the safety of the president and his staff."

In a statement circulated to the press, Steven Cheung, the White House communications director, said: "The new Air Force One is a state-of-the-art aircraft that has been fitted with high-level security protocols that ensure the safety of the president and his staff."

"As the president has said recently, there are many enemies of America who have their sights on him, and we use every tool at our disposal — including distraction and misdirection — to address those threats," he added.

"As the president has said recently, there are many enemies of America who have their sights on him, and we use every tool at our disposal — including distraction and misdirection — to address those threats," he added.

The brand new Air Force One, which is truly spectacular, was sent to the Mildenhall base to give America's military heroes a chance to the tour plane so they can appreciate the great new addition to the U.S. Air Force.

The brand new Air Force One, which is truly spectacular, was sent to the Mildenhall base to give America's military heroes a chance to the tour plane so they can appreciate the great new addition to the U.S. Air Force.

After lawmakers raised concerns about the speed of retrofitting the new plane, this change appears to confirm suspicions as sources said the new plane lacked the security capabilities present in its replacement.

After lawmakers raised concerns about the speed of retrofitting the new plane, this change appears to confirm suspicions as sources said the new plane lacked the security capabilities present in its replacement.

There's a 23% chance that Donald Trum will vacate the presidency before January 20, 2029, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There's a 23% chance that Donald Trum will vacate the presidency before January 20, 2029, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

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