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Russia-China Joint Sea-2026 drills open in Qingdao

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When Will the Russia-Ukraine War End?

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"I argue that war is unlikely to occur due to the deep economic ties underlying the great power politics between the two countries."

"War with either [Russia or China] is neither inevitable nor imminent."

"As things currently stand, the US is not prepared to fight and win a war with China over Taiwan."

"A war between the US and China today is no more inevitable than was war between the rising US and the declining United Kingdom a century ago."

"[T]he tension between the United States and China will grow, and competition will intensify; it is inevitable. War, however, is not."

"War is a risk, but it is not inevitable."

"The risk of a military conflict is very serious."

"The smallest misstep by either side [Taipei and Beijing] could ignite a U.S.-China war."

"China is preparing for a war and specifically for a war with the United States."

"The most proximate potential timeframe for war is in the next two years."

"My gut tells me we [the US] will fight [with China] in 2025."

Will There Be a US-China War?

China and Russia launched their annual "Joint Sea-2026" naval exercises on July 6 in the Yellow Sea, with drills scheduled to run through July 13 in waters and airspace near the port city of Qingdao.

China and Russia launched their annual "Joint Sea-2026" naval exercises on July 6 in the Yellow Sea, with drills scheduled to run through July 13 in waters and airspace near the port city of Qingdao.

The Chinese side deployed guided-missile destroyers, a frigate, a submarine, a supply ship and a rescue vessel, while Russia contributed the guided-missile cruiser Varyag, a frigate, a submarine and a rescue vessel.

The Chinese side deployed guided-missile destroyers, a frigate, a submarine, a supply ship and a rescue vessel, while Russia contributed the guided-missile cruiser Varyag, a frigate, a submarine and a rescue vessel.

Following the exercises, naval forces from both countries will conduct a joint maritime patrol in unspecified areas of the Pacific Ocean. China's Defense Ministry said the activities are aimed at "jointly responding to security challenges and safeguarding regional peace and stability."

Following the exercises, naval forces from both countries will conduct a joint maritime patrol in unspecified areas of the Pacific Ocean. China's Defense Ministry said the activities are aimed at "jointly responding to security challenges and safeguarding regional peace and stability."

The drills include joint reconnaissance, air and missile defense, surface-strike operations and anti-submarine warfare. One training stage involves rescuing the crew of a simulated distressed submarine using a deep-submergence rescue vehicle.

The drills include joint reconnaissance, air and missile defense, surface-strike operations and anti-submarine warfare. One training stage involves rescuing the crew of a simulated distressed submarine using a deep-submergence rescue vehicle.

China and Russia have held "Joint Sea" exercises annually since 2012. Last year's edition took place near the Russian port of Vladivostok and was also followed by joint patrols in the Pacific Ocean.

China and Russia have held "Joint Sea" exercises annually since 2012. Last year's edition took place near the Russian port of Vladivostok and was also followed by joint patrols in the Pacific Ocean.

The exercises follow Russian President Vladimir Putin's visit to China roughly two months prior, during which Putin described bilateral relations as reaching an "unprecedentedly high level" and Chinese President Xi Jinping called the partnership "unyielding." China has not condemned Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, though Beijing maintains it is a neutral party. Several Western governments, including the United States, allege Beijing has provided support to Moscow's war effort.

The exercises follow Russian President Vladimir Putin's visit to China roughly two months prior, during which Putin described bilateral relations as reaching an "unprecedentedly high level" and Chinese President Xi Jinping called the partnership "unyielding." China has not condemned Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, though Beijing maintains it is a neutral party. Several Western governments, including the United States, allege Beijing has provided support to Moscow's war effort.

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Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine

The Russia-Ukraine War

The US-China Conflict

China, Russia hold annual joint naval drills

China, Russia Launch Joint Naval Drills in Yellow Sea

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Russia

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The Joint Sea-2026 drills are a legitimate, defensive exercise between two sovereign nations focused on search-and-rescue, anti-submarine warfare and air defense — nothing more. These annual exercises have been routine since 2012 and are explicitly aimed at maintaining regional peace and stability. Framing normal military cooperation as a threat says more about Western anxiety than about any actual aggression.

The Joint Sea-2026 drills are a legitimate, defensive exercise between two sovereign nations focused on search-and-rescue, anti-submarine warfare and air defense — nothing more. These annual exercises have been routine since 2012 and are explicitly aimed at maintaining regional peace and stability. Framing normal military cooperation as a threat says more about Western anxiety than about any actual aggression.

China-Russia naval drills aren't just routine cooperation — they're happening while Russia wages war on Ukraine and while reports confirm Russian troops secretly trained in China. The two sides practiced destroying an "enemy" submarine days after Trump repositioned nuclear submarines to counter Russian provocations. Calling this peacekeeping is a stretch when one partner is actively fighting a land war in Europe.

China-Russia naval drills aren't just routine cooperation — they're happening while Russia wages war on Ukraine and while reports confirm Russian troops secretly trained in China. The two sides practiced destroying an "enemy" submarine days after Trump repositioned nuclear submarines to counter Russian provocations. Calling this peacekeeping is a stretch when one partner is actively fighting a land war in Europe.

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