Al Jazeera

Iran war live: Tehran denies Trumps claim of meeting in Doha

Daily Mail

Iran declares peace talks NOT happening after Trump claims they're crawling back

Live updates: Trump and Iran issue conflicting statements about talks

FoxNews

Metaculus

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

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Mehr News Agency

14-point Iran-US MoU: A new phase of managed tensions

FloppingAces

The Washington Post

Iran Negotiation Ceasefire Deal Trump

The New Arab

Trump envoys head to Qatar as Iran denies agreeing to talks

The Jerusalem Post

Iran, US to conduct peace talks in Qatar, aim to reopen Strait of Hormuz

FOX News

Israel warns war could resume 'within two days' as US pushes ahead with Iran technical talks in Doha

Haaretz

Iran Rejects International Involvement in Strait of Hormuz Mine Clearance

Tasnim News Agency

Iran: No Technical Talks Scheduled This Week

Tehran Times

Tehran demands US adherence to MoU before any technical discussions begin

Breitbart

Iranian President: Tehran Will Abide by Deal if Washington Honors Commitments

The New York Times

Hormuz Us Iran Strikes

Al Arabiya English

Trump Says Iran Meeting To Be Held Tuesday In Doha

Independent

Iran-US war live: Trump sends envoys to Qatar despite Tehran ruling out peace talks

The Times of Israel

Top Iran Negotiator Mou With Us Unfulfilled No Talks On Other Matters Until It Is

Donald Trump

Marco Rubio

JD Vance

Esmaeil Baghaei

Rafael Mariano Grossi

John Ratcliffe

Tulsi Gabbard

Nicholas L. Miller

Spencer Faragasso

Darya Dolzikova

Andrea Stricker

Sean Parnell

David Albright

Israel Atomic Energy Commission

"If it [the stockpile of enriched uranium] is intact and Iran is able to keep it that way, they could potentially use it in a new covert enrichment facility to produce material for several nuclear weapons in a matter of months."

"I can say to the American people with great confidence that they [Iranians] are much further away from a nuclear program today than they were 24 hours ago."

"Our nuclear installations have been badly damaged, that's for sure."

"Israel's and U.S. attacks have effectively destroyed Iran's centrifuge enrichment program."

"The American strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, combined with Israeli strikes on other elements of Iran's military nuclear program, has set back Iran's ability to develop nuclear weapons by many years."

"Iran's key nuclear enrichment facilities have been completely and totally obliterated."

Have US Strikes Set Back Iran's Nuclear Program?

Alex Vatanka

Mona Yacoubian

Daniel Byman

Polymarket

Kalshi

J.P. Morgan

Mossad Commentary

Neil Stone

Suzanne Maloney

Arash Azizi

Al Jazeera Centre for Studies

Victor Davis Hanson

Witold Repetowicz

Mehdi Parpanchi

Mohammed M. Hafez

Stimson Center

"Current and former U.S. officials say they see little sign, at least so far, of a mass popular uprising in Iran or of significant fissures within the government or security forces that will result in a new regime."

"There is an 11% chance that the Iranian government will lose power before 2027."

"There is an 8.9% chance that the Iranian regime will collapse and Reza Pahlavi will become head of state before January 1, 2027."

"There is an 19% chance that the Iranian regime will fall before 2027."

"Regime change is possible but unlikely."

"In any case, the Islamic Republic faces a significant challenge, and its long-term survival is not assured."

"Regime collapse or irreversible degradation is more likely than regime survival (65% likelihood)."

“The regime cannot continue that long.”

"If Trump sees it through, and I think he will, I think they're [going to] fall pretty soon, in two, three, four weeks."

"I think the regime will collapse before Iranian New Year (Nowruz), which is March 20th."

Will the Islamic Republic of Iran Experience Regime Collapse by 2027?

U.S. President Donald Trump announced that Iran requested a meeting in Doha, with Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner confirmed as the U.S. representatives. Iran's Foreign Ministry denied setting any direct talks with U.S. officials.

U.S. President Donald Trump announced that Iran requested a meeting in Doha, with Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner confirmed as the U.S. representatives. Iran's Foreign Ministry denied setting any direct talks with U.S. officials.

Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi said an Iranian expert delegation would travel to Doha to pursue implementation of U.S. commitments under the MoU, working via Qatari mediators rather than meeting U.S. officials.

Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi said an Iranian expert delegation would travel to Doha to pursue implementation of U.S. commitments under the MoU, working via Qatari mediators rather than meeting U.S. officials.

The U.S. and Iran signed a 14-point MoU on June 17, establishing a 60-day framework covering the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief and Iran's nuclear program. A fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas transits the strait.

The U.S. and Iran signed a 14-point MoU on June 17, establishing a 60-day framework covering the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief and Iran's nuclear program. A fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas transits the strait.

Weekend strikes threatened the ceasefire after Tehran targeted vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S. hit Iranian military sites, reportedly prompting more Iranian missile and drone attacks on U.S. military bases in the region.

Weekend strikes threatened the ceasefire after Tehran targeted vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S. hit Iranian military sites, reportedly prompting more Iranian missile and drone attacks on U.S. military bases in the region.

Gharibabadi said de-mining in the Strait of Hormuz would be conducted exclusively by Iran, warning France against "provocations" after President Emmanuel Macron announced a joint French-Omani effort to clear mines from the Strait.

Gharibabadi said de-mining in the Strait of Hormuz would be conducted exclusively by Iran, warning France against "provocations" after President Emmanuel Macron announced a joint French-Omani effort to clear mines from the Strait.

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said $6 billion of $12 billion in frozen Iranian assets held in Qatar would be released under the accord. He also said the agreement had lifted sanctions on Iran's oil and petrochemical sectors.

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said $6 billion of $12 billion in frozen Iranian assets held in Qatar would be released under the accord. He also said the agreement had lifted sanctions on Iran's oil and petrochemical sectors.

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Trump announced on Truth Social that Iran had requested a meeting in Doha, with Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner confirmed as the U.S. representatives. Iran's Foreign Ministry denied any direct talks with U.S. officials were scheduled.

Trump announced on Truth Social that Iran had requested a meeting in Doha, with Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner confirmed as the U.S. representatives. Iran's Foreign Ministry denied any direct talks with U.S. officials were scheduled.

Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi said an Iranian expert delegation would travel to Doha to pursue implementation of U.S. commitments under the memorandum of understanding, working through Qatari mediators rather than meeting U.S. officials.

Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi said an Iranian expert delegation would travel to Doha to pursue implementation of U.S. commitments under the memorandum of understanding, working through Qatari mediators rather than meeting U.S. officials.

The U.S. and Iran signed a 14-point memorandum of understanding on June 17, establishing a 60-day framework covering the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief and Iran's nuclear program. A fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas transits the strait.

The U.S. and Iran signed a 14-point memorandum of understanding on June 17, establishing a 60-day framework covering the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief and Iran's nuclear program. A fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas transits the strait.

Weekend strikes threatened the ceasefire after Iran hit cargo vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran subsequently launched missile and drone attacks on U.S. military sites in Kuwait and Bahrain, which the U.S. said prompted retaliatory strikes.

Weekend strikes threatened the ceasefire after Iran hit cargo vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran subsequently launched missile and drone attacks on U.S. military sites in Kuwait and Bahrain, which the U.S. said prompted retaliatory strikes.

Gharibabadi stated that de-mining in the Strait of Hormuz would be conducted exclusively by Iran, warning France against "provocations" after President Macron announced a joint French-Omani effort to clear mines from the waterway.

Gharibabadi stated that de-mining in the Strait of Hormuz would be conducted exclusively by Iran, warning France against "provocations" after President Macron announced a joint French-Omani effort to clear mines from the waterway.

The 14-point US-Iran memorandum of understanding marks a genuine shift away from pure confrontation toward phased crisis management. Neither side could sustain the costs of maximum pressure indefinitely — energy security, frozen assets and regional instability all pushed both parties back to the table. This framework isn't a final peace deal, but it's a serious foundation for reducing tensions through structured, step-by-step negotiation.

The 14-point US-Iran memorandum of understanding marks a genuine shift away from pure confrontation toward phased crisis management. Neither side could sustain the costs of maximum pressure indefinitely — energy security, frozen assets and regional instability all pushed both parties back to the table. This framework isn't a final peace deal, but it's a serious foundation for reducing tensions through structured, step-by-step negotiation.

A ceasefire that leaves Iran's regime intact and its nuclear ambitions unresolved isn't a win — it's a delay tactic Tehran will exploit to regroup and rebuild. Iran's leaders are already threatening to walk out of talks while demanding US troops leave the Middle East entirely, which signals they aren't serious. No deal is better than a bad one that hands the regime time it desperately needs.

A ceasefire that leaves Iran's regime intact and its nuclear ambitions unresolved isn't a win — it's a delay tactic Tehran will exploit to regroup and rebuild. Iran's leaders are already threatening to walk out of talks while demanding US troops leave the Middle East entirely, which signals they aren't serious. No deal is better than a bad one that hands the regime time it desperately needs.

Flopping Aces

The Iran War

US Foreign Military Interventions

The US-Iran Conflict

US-Iran Doha Talks Disputed Amid Ceasefire Tensions

Iran

United States of America

The 14-point U.S.-Iran MoU marks a genuine shift away from pure confrontation toward phased crisis management. Neither side could sustain the costs of maximum pressure indefinitely — energy security, frozen assets and regional instability all pushed both parties back to the table. This framework isn't a final peace deal, but it's a serious foundation for reducing tensions through structured, step-by-step negotiation.

The 14-point U.S.-Iran MoU marks a genuine shift away from pure confrontation toward phased crisis management. Neither side could sustain the costs of maximum pressure indefinitely — energy security, frozen assets and regional instability all pushed both parties back to the table. This framework isn't a final peace deal, but it's a serious foundation for reducing tensions through structured, step-by-step negotiation.

A ceasefire that leaves Iran's regime intact and its nuclear ambitions unresolved is less of a win and more of a delay tactic that Tehran will exploit to regroup and rebuild. Iran's leaders are already threatening to walk out of talks while demanding U.S. troops leave the Middle East entirely, which signals they aren't serious. No deal is better than a bad one that hands the regime the time it desperately needs.

A ceasefire that leaves Iran's regime intact and its nuclear ambitions unresolved is less of a win and more of a delay tactic that Tehran will exploit to regroup and rebuild. Iran's leaders are already threatening to walk out of talks while demanding U.S. troops leave the Middle East entirely, which signals they aren't serious. No deal is better than a bad one that hands the regime the time it desperately needs.

There is a 50% chance the United States and Iran will sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There is a 50% chance the United States and Iran will sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

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US-Iran Doha Talks Disputed Amid Ceasefire Tensions

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