Ukraine and Moldova launching EU membership talks is a massive win for European security and a direct rebuke to Russian aggression. Getting both countries into the EU framework means stronger democratic institutions, rule-of-law reforms and a united front against Moscow's destabilizing influence. This is exactly the kind of bold, strategic move Europe needs to protect its future.
Enthusiasm aside, Ukraine has only completed 15% of the reforms agreed in December, and serious corruption concerns remain unresolved. Rushing accession without ironclad safeguards risks repeating the Hungary disaster, where a member state weaponized veto power and had billions in EU funds frozen. Full membership must be earned through real reform, not handed out as a wartime political gesture.
There is a 7% chance that Ukraine will join the EU before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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