Israel won't sit back while Hezbollah keeps targeting its citizens. The IDF is pressing forward in southern Lebanon, and Beirut terror targets are squarely in the crosshairs if attacks don't stop. This ceasefire only holds if Hezbollah holds up its end — and right now, that's not happening.
Iran is drawing a hard line — if Israeli strikes on Lebanon continue, the dialogue is dead and the resistance stands firm. The bond between the Iranian and Lebanese peoples makes backing down politically impossible. Hezbollah is fighting to defend the motherlandresistance, and that cause isn't going anywhere.
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There's a 6% chance that Israel will conduct a ground invasion of Iran before 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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