The Washington Post

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Iran war day 89: Lebanon strikes kill 31 as ceasefire tensions rise

Reuters

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CNBC

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Donald Trump says US 'not satisfied' with Iran deal yet

Trump says 'not satisfied' yet on Iran deal

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Clay Fuller

Shawn Harris

"We should not put ground troops on the ground because this is not a war we should be in."

"Our country is safer because of what President Trump has done regarding Iran."

Where Do Candidates Stand on US Involvement in the Iran War?

Alex Vatanka

Mona Yacoubian

Daniel Byman

Polymarket

Kalshi

J.P. Morgan

Mossad Commentary

Neil Stone

Suzanne Maloney

Arash Azizi

Al Jazeera Centre for Studies

Victor Davis Hanson

Witold Repetowicz

Mehdi Parpanchi

Mohammed M. Hafez

Stimson Center

"Current and former U.S. officials say they see little sign, at least so far, of a mass popular uprising in Iran or of significant fissures within the government or security forces that will result in a new regime."

"There is an 11% chance that the Iranian government will lose power before 2027."

"There is an 8.9% chance that the Iranian regime will collapse and Reza Pahlavi will become head of state before January 1, 2027."

"There is an 19% chance that the Iranian regime will fall before 2027."

"Regime change is possible but unlikely."

"In any case, the Islamic Republic faces a significant challenge, and its long-term survival is not assured."

"Regime collapse or irreversible degradation is more likely than regime survival (65% likelihood)."

“The regime cannot continue that long.”

"If Trump sees it through, and I think he will, I think they're [going to] fall pretty soon, in two, three, four weeks."

"I think the regime will collapse before Iranian New Year (Nowruz), which is March 20th."

Will the Islamic Republic of Iran Experience Regime Collapse by 2027?

U.S. President Donald Trump said Wednesday he was "not satisfied" with Iran's proposals to end the war, warning he was prepared to "finish the job" if negotiations failed. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said "significant progress" had been made and results were expected within hours or days.

U.S. President Donald Trump said Wednesday he was "not satisfied" with Iran's proposals to end the war, warning he was prepared to "finish the job" if negotiations failed. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said "significant progress" had been made and results were expected within hours or days.

The White House called an Iranian state TV report on a draft memorandum of understanding a "complete fabrication." The reported draft had included terms such as lifting the U.S. naval blockade and withdrawing American forces from Iran's vicinity.

The White House called an Iranian state TV report on a draft memorandum of understanding a "complete fabrication." The reported draft had included terms such as lifting the U.S. naval blockade and withdrawing American forces from Iran's vicinity.

Iran accused the U.S. of a "gross violation" of the ceasefire after American forces struck missile sites and vessels allegedly laying mines near the Strait of Hormuz on Monday. Iran's Revolutionary Guard said a return to full-scale war was unlikely but warned its forces stood ready to respond.

Iran accused the U.S. of a "gross violation" of the ceasefire after American forces struck missile sites and vessels allegedly laying mines near the Strait of Hormuz on Monday. Iran's Revolutionary Guard said a return to full-scale war was unlikely but warned its forces stood ready to respond.

Israeli forces killed at least 31 people in Lebanon on Tuesday and issued dozens of displacement orders across the south and east of the country. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel was "deepening its operations" and seizing territory beyond the demarcation line established under a U.S.-brokered ceasefire.

Israeli forces killed at least 31 people in Lebanon on Tuesday and issued dozens of displacement orders across the south and east of the country. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel was "deepening its operations" and seizing territory beyond the demarcation line established under a U.S.-brokered ceasefire.

Iran is seeking the release of up to $24 billion in frozen assets as part of an initial agreement, with half expected to be unlocked after signing. U.S. officials have said sanctions relief and asset releases would be contingent on Iranian compliance with other elements of any deal.

Iran is seeking the release of up to $24 billion in frozen assets as part of an initial agreement, with half expected to be unlocked after signing. U.S. officials have said sanctions relief and asset releases would be contingent on Iranian compliance with other elements of any deal.

The Pentagon estimated the cost of its operations against Iran at approximately $29 billion as of mid-May, though officials acknowledged the full figure could be closer to $40–50 billion. The U.S. Navy's top officer told Congress that the conflict had forced cuts to training, flight hours and recruit funding.

The Pentagon estimated the cost of its operations against Iran at approximately $29 billion as of mid-May, though officials acknowledged the full figure could be closer to $40–50 billion. The U.S. Navy's top officer told Congress that the conflict had forced cuts to training, flight hours and recruit funding.

Trump Warns Iran: Deal or Face 'Finish the Job'

Trump Warns Iran: Deal or Face 'Finish the Job'

The Controversies

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Byman

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Hanson

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Trump Warns Iran: Deal or Face 'Finish the Job'

Trump Warns Iran: Deal or Face 'Finish the Job'

The Controversies

Harris

Fuller

Post

Kalshi

Byman

Center

Morgan

Hanson

Stone

Go Deeper

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