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Iran's supreme leader is holed up in undisclosed location, U.S. intelligence says

Quincy Institute for Responsible Statescraft

Irans Next Transformation: How War Could Shift Power from Clerics to the Military

Pars Today

Sheikh Naim Qassem: Iran under Ayatollah Seyed Mojtaba Khamenei's leadership humiliated United States, Israel

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Jerusalem_Post

TRT World

Iran ready to reassure world it is not pursuing nukes: Pezeshkian

Pezeshkian: Iran ready to assure world it won't seek nuclear weapons

PressTV

Pezeshkian: Iran ready to assure world it is not seeking nuclear weapons

The Economic Times

Why the US-Iran deal is stuck: Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei reportedly hiding in undisclosed location inaccessible even to top Iranian officials

The Times of Israel

Irans Supreme Leader Hiding In Secret Location Communicates Via Network Of Messengers Cbs

Tehran Times

No decision made without Leader's approval: President Pezeshkian

Roya News

Iran to continue managing Strait of Hormuz after deal with US: Iranian media

Turkiye Today

Iran's supreme leader is hidden with only couriers as access: Report

I24News

Iran's Supreme Leader Holed Up In Undisclosed Location, Slowing Deal Talks

New York Post

Iran’s supreme leader has agreed ‘in principle’ to give up uranium as part of peace deal, US official says

The Washington Examiner

Iran negotiations slowed by supreme leaders isolation: US officials

BBC News

Deal with US not imminent, Iran says

Benjamin Netanyahu

Ali Khamenei

Masoud Pezeshkian

Scott Ritter

Kelsey Davenport

Rafael Mariano Grossi

Seyed Hossein Mousavian

Polymarket

Tulsi Gabbard

Mehdi Hasan

Tamir Hayman

Kamal Kharazi

Barry R McCaffrey

Iran Watch

Hui Zhang

War Monitor

S.L. Kanthan

The New York Times

Metaculus

"No, we're not thinking about nuclear weapons."

"We have no intention of obtaining these weapons at all."

"Iran doesn't have nukes, isn't building nukes, and hasn't made the decision to build nukes."

"Iran doesn't have a bomb, and doesn't appear to be trying to make a bomb."

"They are definitely going for a nuclear weapon there is no question."

Iran could produce a nuclear weapon "within a few months, less than a year."

Will Iran Possess a Nuclear Weapon?

Donald Trump

Marco Rubio

J.D. Vance

Esmaeil Baghaei

John Ratcliffe

Nicholas L. Miller

Spencer Faragasso

Darya Dolzikova

Andrea Stricker

Sean Parnell

David Albright

Israel Atomic Energy Commission

"If it [the stockpile of enriched uranium] is intact and Iran is able to keep it that way, they could potentially use it in a new covert enrichment facility to produce material for several nuclear weapons in a matter of months."

"I can say to the American people with great confidence that they [Iranians] are much further away from a nuclear program today than they were 24 hours ago."

"Our nuclear installations have been badly damaged, that's for sure."

"Israel's and U.S. attacks have effectively destroyed Iran's centrifuge enrichment program."

"The American strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, combined with Israeli strikes on other elements of Iran's military nuclear program, has set back Iran's ability to develop nuclear weapons by many years."

"Iran's key nuclear enrichment facilities have been completely and totally obliterated."

Have US Strikes Set Back Iran's Nuclear Program?

Alex Vatanka

Mona Yacoubian

Daniel Byman

Kalshi

J.P. Morgan

The Washington Post

Mossad Commentary

Neil Stone

Suzanne Maloney

Arash Azizi

Al Jazeera Centre for Studies

Victor Davis Hanson

Witold Repetowicz

Mehdi Parpanchi

Mohammed M. Hafez

Stimson Center

"Current and former U.S. officials say they see little sign, at least so far, of a mass popular uprising in Iran or of significant fissures within the government or security forces that will result in a new regime."

"There is an 11% chance that the Iranian government will lose power before 2027."

"There is an 8.9% chance that the Iranian regime will collapse and Reza Pahlavi will become head of state before January 1, 2027."

"There is an 19% chance that the Iranian regime will fall before 2027."

"Regime change is possible but unlikely."

"In any case, the Islamic Republic faces a significant challenge, and its long-term survival is not assured."

"Regime collapse or irreversible degradation is more likely than regime survival (65% likelihood)."

“The regime cannot continue that long.”

"If Trump sees it through, and I think he will, I think they're [going to] fall pretty soon, in two, three, four weeks."

"I think the regime will collapse before Iranian New Year (Nowruz), which is March 20th."

Will the Islamic Republic of Iran Experience Regime Collapse by 2027?

U.S. intelligence indicates Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is operating from an undisclosed location, reachable only through a courier network, with even senior Iranian officials unaware of his whereabouts or able to contact him directly.

U.S. intelligence indicates Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is operating from an undisclosed location, reachable only through a courier network, with even senior Iranian officials unaware of his whereabouts or able to contact him directly.

The communications breakdown has slowed U.S.-Iran negotiations, with a senior Trump administration official saying Khamenei had agreed to the "broad template" of a draft agreement but that final approval could still take days to filter through Iran's system.

The communications breakdown has slowed U.S.-Iran negotiations, with a senior Trump administration official saying Khamenei had agreed to the "broad template" of a draft agreement but that final approval could still take days to filter through Iran's system.

The proposed deal would reopen the Strait of Hormuz and require Iran to dispose of its highly enriched uranium, with sanctions relief tied to progress on offloading the nuclear material. Iran's state-affiliated Fars News Agency said management of the strait would remain exclusively under Iranian authority.

The proposed deal would reopen the Strait of Hormuz and require Iran to dispose of its highly enriched uranium, with sanctions relief tied to progress on offloading the nuclear material. Iran's state-affiliated Fars News Agency said management of the strait would remain exclusively under Iranian authority.

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said Tehran is prepared to assure the international community it is not pursuing nuclear weapons, while stressing that Iranian negotiators would not compromise on the country's dignity and sovereignty.

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said Tehran is prepared to assure the international community it is not pursuing nuclear weapons, while stressing that Iranian negotiators would not compromise on the country's dignity and sovereignty.

Mojtaba Khamenei was injured in U.S. and Israeli strikes during Operation Epic Fury on Feb. 28 and has not been seen publicly since being appointed supreme leader following the death of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who ruled Iran from 1989.

Mojtaba Khamenei was injured in U.S. and Israeli strikes during Operation Epic Fury on Feb. 28 and has not been seen publicly since being appointed supreme leader following the death of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who ruled Iran from 1989.

Most senior Iranian officials are reportedly spending weeks inside fortified bunkers and avoiding direct communication with one another. Analysts have noted the war may be accelerating a shift in Iran's internal power balance toward its military-security establishment.

Most senior Iranian officials are reportedly spending weeks inside fortified bunkers and avoiding direct communication with one another. Analysts have noted the war may be accelerating a shift in Iran's internal power balance toward its military-security establishment.

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The Iran War

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Iran's supreme leader is holed up in undisclosed location, U.S. intelligence says

Iran's Hidden Leader Stalls US Nuclear Talks

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Iran's Hidden Leader Stalls US Nuclear Talks

Iran's supremeHidden leaderLeader isStalls holedUS upNuclear in undisclosed location, U.S. intelligence saysTalks

The Controversies

Khamenei

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Hasan

Ritter

Monitor

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