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Snapshot 5:Thu, May 21, 2026 7:52:23 AM GMT last edited by Kani

Report: U.S., Israel Planned Ahmadinejad as Iran's New Leader

Report: U.S., Israel Planned Ahmadinejad as Iran's New Leader

Report: U.S., Israel Planned Ahmadinejad as Iran's New Leader
Above: Iranian former president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad waves after registering his candidacy for Iran's upcoming presidential election in Tehran on June 2, 2024. Image credit: Atta Kenare/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin


The allegedclaim U.S.-Israelthat planTrump was plotting to install Ahmadinejad as Iran's next leader is full of holes and doesn't holdwithstand upserious to scrutiny. BringingBacking back a Holocaust-denying, anti-Western hardliner would bemake likelittle swappingstrategic onesense theocraticfor nightmareWashington foror anotherJerusalem, hand itcritics gainsan nobodyimmediate anythingpropaganda victory, and risk replacing one dangerous regime with another. The report leansrelies on unnamed officials describing deliberationsinternal discussions, whichnot isevidence aof farany cryactual frompolicy actualdecision or operational policyplan.

The U.S. and Israel genuinely went into the Iran conflict with a regime-change blueprint that had Ahmadinejad at the center, and the evidence is hard to dismiss. An Israeli strike on Feb. 28 was designed to free him from house arrest, and an associate confirmed he knew the Americans saw him as capable of managing Iran's political and military situation. Trump misjudged Iran's resilience and gambled on a risky leadership swap that even his own aides found implausible.

The timing is almost too convenient. As Iran remains politically fragile and Washington debates next steps, a sensational leak suddenly claims Trump considered reinstalling Mahmoud Ahmadinejad — a figure guaranteed to inflame both Iranian factions and American audiences. In Iran, it fuels paranoia and elite distrust; in the U.S., it paints Trump as reckless. Conveniently, the story rests on unnamed officials — a leak-driven formula the New York Times has faced scrutiny over before.


Metaculus Prediction

There is a 20% chance that the United States conduct a ground invasion of Iran before 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.4.1

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.4.1