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Trumps Iran war now comes down to one brutal question: What comes next?

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Will the United States conduct a ground invasion of Iran before 2027?

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"Current and former U.S. officials say they see little sign, at least so far, of a mass popular uprising in Iran or of significant fissures within the government or security forces that will result in a new regime."

"There is an 11% chance that the Iranian government will lose power before 2027."

"There is an 8.9% chance that the Iranian regime will collapse and Reza Pahlavi will become head of state before January 1, 2027."

"There is an 19% chance that the Iranian regime will fall before 2027."

"Regime change is possible but unlikely."

"In any case, the Islamic Republic faces a significant challenge, and its long-term survival is not assured."

"Regime collapse or irreversible degradation is more likely than regime survival (65% likelihood)."

“The regime cannot continue that long.”

"If Trump sees it through, and I think he will, I think they're [going to] fall pretty soon, in two, three, four weeks."

"I think the regime will collapse before Iranian New Year (Nowruz), which is March 20th."

Will the Islamic Republic of Iran Experience Regime Collapse by 2027?

Trump said Monday he had paused a planned attack on Iran after Tehran submitted a revised peace proposal through Pakistani mediation, saying there was "a very good chance" of reaching a deal limiting Iran's nuclear program. He warned military forces to be ready for "a full, large-scale assault" if no acceptable deal was reached.

Trump said Monday he had paused a planned attack on Iran after Tehran submitted a revised peace proposal through Pakistani mediation, saying there was "a very good chance" of reaching a deal limiting Iran's nuclear program. He warned military forces to be ready for "a full, large-scale assault" if no acceptable deal was reached.

Iran's latest proposal to Washington includes ending hostilities on all fronts, the withdrawal of US forces from areas near Iran, reparations for war damage, lifting of sanctions, release of frozen funds and an end to the US maritime blockade, according to Iranian state media.

Iran's latest proposal to Washington includes ending hostilities on all fronts, the withdrawal of US forces from areas near Iran, reparations for war damage, lifting of sanctions, release of frozen funds and an end to the US maritime blockade, according to Iranian state media.

Trump convened a national security meeting Monday evening that included a briefing on military options against Iran. Gulf leaders had urged him to delay strikes, citing concerns over potential Iranian retaliation against their oil facilities and infrastructure.

Trump convened a national security meeting Monday evening that included a briefing on military options against Iran. Gulf leaders had urged him to delay strikes, citing concerns over potential Iranian retaliation against their oil facilities and infrastructure.

US military officials said Iran used the ceasefire period to restore parts of its missile infrastructure, digging out ballistic missile sites and relocating mobile launchers. Officials also warned that Iranian commanders, reportedly with Russian assistance, studied American flight patterns and adjusted their tactics.

US military officials said Iran used the ceasefire period to restore parts of its missile infrastructure, digging out ballistic missile sites and relocating mobile launchers. Officials also warned that Iranian commanders, reportedly with Russian assistance, studied American flight patterns and adjusted their tactics.

Explosions were heard on Iran's Qeshm island on Tuesday, which a local official cited by Iran's Tasnim news agency attributed to the neutralization of unexploded enemy ammunition. Iran's Mehr news agency had earlier reported the blasts with no stated cause.

Explosions were heard on Iran's Qeshm island on Tuesday, which a local official cited by Iran's Tasnim news agency attributed to the neutralization of unexploded enemy ammunition. Iran's Mehr news agency had earlier reported the blasts with no stated cause.

Iran has been under a nationwide internet blackout for 80 days since the US-Israeli war began, the longest such government-imposed shutdown on record in a digitally connected society, surpassing Myanmar's 72-day blackout in February 2021, according to internet monitoring organization NetBlocks.

Iran has been under a nationwide internet blackout for 80 days since the US-Israeli war began, the longest such government-imposed shutdown on record in a digitally connected society, surpassing Myanmar's 72-day blackout in February 2021, according to internet monitoring organization NetBlocks.

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