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Russia and Belarus hold joint nuclear drills following Ukrainian strikes on Moscow

Metaculus

Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

English

Russia Announces Three-Day Nuclear Drills

Anadolu Agency

Belarus, Russia hold drills on combat use of nuclear weapons

I24News

Russia to hold nuclear forces drills today with over 64,000 troops as Putin travels to China to meet with Xi Jinping

Semafor

Putin launches nuclear drills in projection of power

Sputnik News

Russia Kicks Off Massive Three-Day Nuclear Drills

Reuters

Russia Conducts Major Nuclear Drills 2026 05 19

Breakingthenews

Breaking The News

The Moscow Times

Russia Begins Major Nuclear Drills

Guardian

Nato jet shot down reported stray Ukrainian drone over Estonia, defence minister says  Europe live

Al Jazeera

Belarus dismisses concerns as it launches joint nuclear drills with Russia

CBS News

Russia conducting 3 days of major nuclear drills

United24 Media

Russia Launches Massive Nuclear Drills Involving 64,000 Troops and 200 Missile Launchers

France 24

20260519 Russia To Conduct Three Day Nuclear Drills On May 19 21

MarioNawfal

Steve Gutterman

Olga Oliker

Polymarket

Dw.Com

New Lines Institute

Foreign Policy Research Institute

Orfonline

Manifold

Lines

James Newport

Ruth Deyermond

Tatiana Stanovaya

RBC-Ukraine

"All in all, an end to the war doesn't seem to be within close range as we head into 2026."

"There will be no final settlement either now or in the foreseeable future."

"The war in Ukraine is unlikely to end in a sustainable peace in 2026."

"There is a 22% chance that there will be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027."

"There is a 27% chance that Russia and Ukraine will have a ceasefire by the end of 2026."

"There is a 29% chance that the war in Ukraine will end by the end of 2026."

"Neither Ukraine nor Russia seems to be in a position to achieve a conclusive victory on the battlefield and, though both are under significant pressure, neither appears likely to collapse."

"A peace in 2026 is unlikely to be a true resolution. More likely is an “indefinite ceasefire” akin to the Korean Peninsula’s frozen conflict."

Will Russia and Ukraine publicly agree to a cessation of hostilities lasting more than 36 hours before January 1, 2027?

CREA

Michael Damianos

Dan Jørgensen

Georg Zachmann

Olga Khakova

Sergiy Makogon

Florence Schmit

Paperjam

Martin Vladimirov

Think Tank EUROPA

Alexey Belogoryev

ZAWYA

Antonina Levashenko

Patrick Pouyanné

"Without a coordinated legal and infrastructural overhaul, and the political will to confront internal divisions, the EU’s ambition to fully sever its energy ties with Russia by the 2027 deadline will remain unattainable."

"If Europe wants to get invested in nuclear or renewable energies with the aim of being more self-reliant and energy secure, that will take time [beyond 2027]."

"The current design of the legal Russian gas phaseout regime contains several structural loopholes that risk prolonging Europe's dependence [beyond 2027] on Russian gas and undermining the effectiveness of the broader sanctions architecture."

"Slovakia and Hungary's infrastructure does not allow them to quickly [by end of 2027] transition to alternative suppliers."

"The 2027 deadlines are not a guarantee of a final break with Russian gas, but rather a political compromise that can still be diluted by exemptions, court proceedings and weak national-level enforcement."

"2027 is a key year for new LNG export capacity, especially from the US and Qatar. ... There is enough coming online to make up for a Russian shortfall, especially if Russian LNG can just flow into other markets like China."

"By 2027, it is possible to replace all these volumes - about 16 million tons, which are currently coming from Russia - with alternative suppliers."

"The European Union will be able to fully replace Russian liquefied natural gas imports with alternative supply from 2027 without major price shocks, thanks to booming projects in the United States and Qatar."

“We’ve made it: Europe is turning off the tap on Russian gas [by 2027], forever.”

"We are breaking away from detrimental reliance on Russian gas [by 2027] and taking a major step, in a spirit of solidarity and cooperation, towards an autonomous Energy Union."

Will the European Union Phase Out Russian LNG by 2027?

Russia launched three days of nuclear weapons drills from May 19 to 21, involving more than 64,000 personnel, 7,800 pieces of military equipment, over 200 missile launchers, 140 aircraft, 73 surface ships and 13 submarines, including eight strategic nuclear submarines.

Russia launched three days of nuclear weapons drills from May 19 to 21, involving more than 64,000 personnel, 7,800 pieces of military equipment, over 200 missile launchers, 140 aircraft, 73 surface ships and 13 submarines, including eight strategic nuclear submarines.

The drills, which included test launches of ballistic and cruise missiles, also covered joint training on the use of nuclear weapons stationed in Belarus. Russia deployed its nuclear-capable Oreshnik missile to Belarus, which borders NATO members Poland, Lithuania and Latvia.

The drills, which included test launches of ballistic and cruise missiles, also covered joint training on the use of nuclear weapons stationed in Belarus. Russia deployed its nuclear-capable Oreshnik missile to Belarus, which borders NATO members Poland, Lithuania and Latvia.

Belarus announced its own nuclear weapons exercises on May 18, conducted jointly with Russia, aimed at testing combat deployment readiness from unprepared locations. Minsk said the drills were a scheduled event and "not directed against third countries."

Belarus announced its own nuclear weapons exercises on May 18, conducted jointly with Russia, aimed at testing combat deployment readiness from unprepared locations. Minsk said the drills were a scheduled event and "not directed against third countries."

Ukraine's Foreign Ministry condemned the exercises, saying Russia was "de facto legitimizing the proliferation of nuclear weapons worldwide" by turning Belarus into a "nuclear staging ground near NATO borders." Kyiv urged Western allies to tighten sanctions against Moscow and Minsk.

Ukraine's Foreign Ministry condemned the exercises, saying Russia was "de facto legitimizing the proliferation of nuclear weapons worldwide" by turning Belarus into a "nuclear staging ground near NATO borders." Kyiv urged Western allies to tighten sanctions against Moscow and Minsk.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy ordered troops to reinforce Ukraine's northern border, alleging Russia was preparing a new offensive from Belarus targeting either Ukraine or a NATO country. The Kremlin dismissed the claims as "an attempt at further incitement."

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy ordered troops to reinforce Ukraine's northern border, alleging Russia was preparing a new offensive from Belarus targeting either Ukraine or a NATO country. The Kremlin dismissed the claims as "an attempt at further incitement."

The drills coincide with the collapse of the New START treaty in February, which had been the last nuclear arms pact between Russia and the United States. Its expiration removed the final remaining caps on both countries' nuclear arsenals.

The drills coincide with the collapse of the New START treaty in February, which had been the last nuclear arms pact between Russia and the United States. Its expiration removed the final remaining caps on both countries' nuclear arsenals.

Russia Holds Massive Nuclear Drills Near NATO Borders

Russia conductsHolds three-dayMassive nuclearNuclear drillsDrills Near NATO Borders

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Russia Holds Massive Nuclear Drills Near NATO Borders

Russia conductsHolds three-dayMassive nuclearNuclear drillsDrills Near NATO Borders

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