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Araghchi: Iran has 'no trust' in the US, will negotiate only if it is serious

Metaculus

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Al Jazeera

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Turkiye Today

Iran says it has no trust in US, insists there is no military solution

The National News

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The Washington Post

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Reuters

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Al Arabiya English

Iran Has No Trust In The Us Will Negotiate Only If It Is Serious Araghchi Says

Kurdistan24

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Guardian

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The Times of Israel

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Trump Says Decimation Of Irans Army To Be Continued After He And Chinas Xi Discuss Hormuz

Rise_Forge

Donald Trump

Marco Rubio

J.D. Vance

Esmaeil Baghaei

Rafael Mariano Grossi

John Ratcliffe

Tulsi Gabbard

Nicholas L. Miller

Spencer Faragasso

Darya Dolzikova

Andrea Stricker

Sean Parnell

David Albright

Israel Atomic Energy Commission

"If it [the stockpile of enriched uranium] is intact and Iran is able to keep it that way, they could potentially use it in a new covert enrichment facility to produce material for several nuclear weapons in a matter of months."

"I can say to the American people with great confidence that they [Iranians] are much further away from a nuclear program today than they were 24 hours ago."

"Our nuclear installations have been badly damaged, that's for sure."

"Israel's and U.S. attacks have effectively destroyed Iran's centrifuge enrichment program."

"The American strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, combined with Israeli strikes on other elements of Iran's military nuclear program, has set back Iran's ability to develop nuclear weapons by many years."

"Iran's key nuclear enrichment facilities have been completely and totally obliterated."

Have US Strikes Set Back Iran's Nuclear Program?

Alex Vatanka

Mona Yacoubian

Daniel Byman

Polymarket

Kalshi

J.P. Morgan

Mossad Commentary

Neil Stone

Suzanne Maloney

Arash Azizi

Al Jazeera Centre for Studies

Victor Davis Hanson

Witold Repetowicz

Mehdi Parpanchi

Mohammed M. Hafez

Stimson Center

"Current and former U.S. officials say they see little sign, at least so far, of a mass popular uprising in Iran or of significant fissures within the government or security forces that will result in a new regime."

"There is an 11% chance that the Iranian government will lose power before 2027."

"There is an 8.9% chance that the Iranian regime will collapse and Reza Pahlavi will become head of state before January 1, 2027."

"There is an 19% chance that the Iranian regime will fall before 2027."

"Regime change is possible but unlikely."

"In any case, the Islamic Republic faces a significant challenge, and its long-term survival is not assured."

"Regime collapse or irreversible degradation is more likely than regime survival (65% likelihood)."

“The regime cannot continue that long.”

"If Trump sees it through, and I think he will, I think they're [going to] fall pretty soon, in two, three, four weeks."

"I think the regime will collapse before Iranian New Year (Nowruz), which is March 20th."

Will the Islamic Republic of Iran Experience Regime Collapse by 2027?

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Tehran has "no trust" in the US and would negotiate only if Washington is serious, as peace talks remain stalled. He made the remarks in New Delhi while attending the BRICS foreign ministers' meeting on Friday.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Tehran has "no trust" in the US and would negotiate only if Washington is serious, as peace talks remain stalled. He made the remarks in New Delhi while attending the BRICS foreign ministers' meeting on Friday.

Trump said he would "not be much more patient" with Iran and urged Tehran to reach a deal, while also suggesting the effort to retrieve Iran's enriched uranium was primarily about perception rather than security. The ceasefire between the US and Iran, brokered in early April, remains fragile.

Trump said he would "not be much more patient" with Iran and urged Tehran to reach a deal, while also suggesting the effort to retrieve Iran's enriched uranium was primarily about perception rather than security. The ceasefire between the US and Iran, brokered in early April, remains fragile.

The US House of Representatives failed to advance a war powers resolution requiring Trump to end the Iran conflict, with the vote ending in a 212-212 tie. Three Republicans joined nearly all Democrats in backing the measure, while military operations have so far cost the Pentagon more than $29 billion.

The US House of Representatives failed to advance a war powers resolution requiring Trump to end the Iran conflict, with the vote ending in a 212-212 tie. Three Republicans joined nearly all Democrats in backing the measure, while military operations have so far cost the Pentagon more than $29 billion.

The UAE announced it would accelerate construction of a new oil pipeline to double export capacity through Fujairah by 2027, bypassing the Strait of Hormuz. Iran's internet shutdown, meanwhile, entered its 76th day, with the Communications Ministry acknowledging the closure was costing businesses 600 billion tomans daily.

The UAE announced it would accelerate construction of a new oil pipeline to double export capacity through Fujairah by 2027, bypassing the Strait of Hormuz. Iran's internet shutdown, meanwhile, entered its 76th day, with the Communications Ministry acknowledging the closure was costing businesses 600 billion tomans daily.

Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed during talks in Beijing that the Strait of Hormuz must remain open and that Iran should never obtain nuclear weapons. Xi also pledged not to supply military equipment to Iran.

Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed during talks in Beijing that the Strait of Hormuz must remain open and that Iran should never obtain nuclear weapons. Xi also pledged not to supply military equipment to Iran.

CENTCOM Deputy Commander Brad Cooper told a US Senate hearing that Iran's missile, drone and naval industries had been "90% weakened," though it was reported that US intelligence assessments found roughly 70% of Iran's mobile launchers and pre-war missile inventory remain intact.

CENTCOM Deputy Commander Brad Cooper told a US Senate hearing that Iran's missile, drone and naval industries had been "90% weakened," though it was reported that US intelligence assessments found roughly 70% of Iran's mobile launchers and pre-war missile inventory remain intact.

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The Times of Israel #

Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed during talks in Beijing that the Strait of Hormuz must remain open and that Iran should never obtain nuclear weapons. Xi also pledged not to supply military equipment to Iran, according to a White House readout of the meeting.

Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed during talks in Beijing that the Strait of Hormuz must remain open and that Iran should never obtain nuclear weapons. Xi also pledged not to supply military equipment to Iran, according to a White House readout of the meeting.

CENTCOM Deputy Commander Brad Cooper told a US Senate hearing that Iran's missile, drone and naval industries had been "90% weakened," though the New York Times reported that US intelligence assessments found roughly 70% of Iran's mobile launchers and pre-war missile inventory remain intact.

CENTCOM Deputy Commander Brad Cooper told a US Senate hearing that Iran's missile, drone and naval industries had been "90% weakened," though the New York Times reported that US intelligence assessments found roughly 70% of Iran's mobile launchers and pre-war missile inventory remain intact.

Iran's military has been gutted — missile stockpiles destroyed, drone capacity shattered, and key commanders eliminated. The U.S. naval blockade is squeezing Tehran while China refuses to break ranks with Washington on keeping Hormuz open. Continuing maximum pressure is the only path that forces a real deal, and walking away now would hand Iran a strategic victory it hasn't earned on the battlefield.

Iran's military has been gutted — missile stockpiles destroyed, drone capacity shattered, and key commanders eliminated. The U.S. naval blockade is squeezing Tehran while China refuses to break ranks with Washington on keeping Hormuz open. Continuing maximum pressure is the only path that forces a real deal, and walking away now would hand Iran a strategic victory it hasn't earned on the battlefield.

Iran still controls the Strait of Hormuz, holds most of its missile inventory intact and has checkmated Washington's war strategy. Tehran is willing to negotiate but demands genuine seriousness from the U.S., not ultimatums. Resuming strikes risks a global economic catastrophe, and every passing week of blockade only cements Iran's leverage as the indispensable gatekeeper of global energy.

Iran still controls the Strait of Hormuz, holds most of its missile inventory intact and has checkmated Washington's war strategy. Tehran is willing to negotiate but demands genuine seriousness from the U.S., not ultimatums. Resuming strikes risks a global economic catastrophe, and every passing week of blockade only cements Iran's leverage as the indispensable gatekeeper of global energy.

Ynetglobal

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There is a 20% chance that Iran and the U.S. will play against each other in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There is a 20% chance that Iran and the U.S. will play against each other in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

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