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Which party will control the US Congress following the 2026 midterm elections?

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“A collapse appears unlikely for now.”

"The collapse of the Iranian government remains unlikely in the near term."

"Our core assumption is that the regime will survive as long as its leaders and security forces retain the ability and willingness to suppress domestic unrest."

It's "unclear if the demonstrations would unseat the leadership, pointing to the sheer depth and resilience of Iran's repressive apparatus."

"It's going to take a few different ingredients for the regime to fall," including "defections in the security services and cracks in the Islamic republic's political elite."

"What this heralds for the Islamic Republic in the near term is neither revolution nor collapse, but rather a slow-motion metastasis that is echoing across the political establishment, the economy, and society."

"Change now looks inevitable; regime collapse is possible but not guaranteed."

"If the regime does not fall this year, it may nonetheless enter a phase of irreversible weakening—one in which future shocks could prove far more difficult to absorb."

"The regime's chances of survival have reached a critical low, and its strategy of perseverance through coercion is being tested by a population that has largely lost faith in the state's ability to govern."

"The plain fact is that the Khamenei regime’s days are numbered."

Will the Current Iranian Government Collapse?

The U.S. Senate rejected a War Powers resolution to limit President Donald Trump's authority to wage war against Iran by a vote of 50-49, marking the seventh consecutive failed attempt by Democrats to curtail the military campaign.

The U.S. Senate rejected a War Powers resolution to limit President Donald Trump's authority to wage war against Iran by a vote of 50-49, marking the seventh consecutive failed attempt by Democrats to curtail the military campaign.

Republican Sens. Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, Susan Collins of Maine and Rand Paul of Kentucky voted with Democrats on the measure, while Democratic Sen. John Fetterman of Pennsylvania crossed party lines to vote against it.

Republican Sens. Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, Susan Collins of Maine and Rand Paul of Kentucky voted with Democrats on the measure, while Democratic Sen. John Fetterman of Pennsylvania crossed party lines to vote against it.

The vote was the first since the conflict surpassed the 60-day threshold under the War Powers Resolution of 1973, which requires congressional authorization for military operations to continue beyond that period.

The vote was the first since the conflict surpassed the 60-day threshold under the War Powers Resolution of 1973, which requires congressional authorization for military operations to continue beyond that period.

The Trump administration argued the 60-day deadline no longer applied, citing an April 7 ceasefire. In a May 1 letter to Congress, Trump declared that hostilities with Iran had "terminated."

The Trump administration argued the 60-day deadline no longer applied, citing an April 7 ceasefire. In a May 1 letter to Congress, Trump declared that hostilities with Iran had "terminated."

Democrats and some Republicans disputed the administration's claim, pointing to continued U.S. naval operations blockading Iranian ports, recent exchanges of fire in the Strait of Hormuz and the deployment of roughly 50,000 U.S. troops in the region.

Democrats and some Republicans disputed the administration's claim, pointing to continued U.S. naval operations blockading Iranian ports, recent exchanges of fire in the Strait of Hormuz and the deployment of roughly 50,000 U.S. troops in the region.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer announced Democrats would continue forcing weekly votes on the resolution. Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia vowed, "We're going to force this vote every week until the Senate says we shouldn't be at war."

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer announced Democrats would continue forcing weekly votes on the resolution. Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia vowed, "We're going to force this vote every week until the Senate says we shouldn't be at war."

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The Iran War

Senate defeats 7th attempt to limit Trump's Iran war powers, despite new GOP defection

Senate Blocks Iran War Powers Resolution 50-49

Senate defeatsBlocks 7th attempt to limit Trump's Iran warWar powers,Powers despiteResolution new GOP defection50-49

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Senate Blocks Iran War Powers Resolution 50-49

Senate defeatsBlocks 7th attempt to limit Trump's Iran warWar powers,Powers despiteResolution new GOP defection50-49

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