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"China has zero interest to invade Taiwan and has never threatened to invade Taiwan."

“I think we’ll be just fine with China. China doesn’t want to do that [invade Taiwan].”

"There's no indications or warnings of anything imminent [China attacking Taiwan] at this time."

a P.L.A. takeover of Taiwan is not inevitable nor, perhaps, even likely in the next few years."

"I wouldn't say war is likely in the next few years, but I wouldn't say it's unlikely over the next couple of decades."

"I think they (the Chinese) have intention, but absolutely I think we can get to the end of this decade without them committing major aggression against Taiwan."

"[T]here might indeed be some greater willingness by Beijing to coerce (or even invade) Taiwan during a Trump administration."

"An invasion of Taiwan could happen within this decade."

"Global Guardian thinks that the window for conflict or a blockade is now open, with that window most likely remaining open between 2024 and 2028."

"The idea is that anything we are working on, anything that we are investing in, needs to be built with the assumption that sometime in 2027, China is going to move on Taiwan."

“Taiwan is clearly one of [China's] ambitions before that and I think the threat is manifest during this decade — in fact, in the next six years.”

Will China Invade Taiwan by 2030?

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"I argue that war is unlikely to occur due to the deep economic ties underlying the great power politics between the two countries."

"War with either [Russia or China] is neither inevitable nor imminent."

"As things currently stand, the US is not prepared to fight and win a war with China over Taiwan."

"A war between the US and China today is no more inevitable than was war between the rising US and the declining United Kingdom a century ago."

"[T]he tension between the United States and China will grow, and competition will intensify; it is inevitable. War, however, is not."

"War is a risk, but it is not inevitable."

"The risk of a military conflict is very serious."

"The smallest misstep by either side [Taipei and Beijing] could ignite a U.S.-China war."

"China is preparing for a war and specifically for a war with the United States."

"The most proximate potential timeframe for war is in the next two years."

"My gut tells me we [the US] will fight [with China] in 2025."

Will There Be a US-China War?

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"China's nominal gross domestic product is unlikely to surpass that of the U.S. in the next few decades."

"This idea of China becoming the world's biggest economy may not happen, actually."

"China probably won't ever overtake the US economy on a sustained basis."

"The likelihood of the prediction that China's GDP will one day overtake that of the U.S. is declining."

"China is forecast to overtake the U.S. as the world’s largest economy by around 2035."

"China will overtake the US as the world's top economy in about 2035 with a high probability."

"[T]he size of China's economy in USD terms will overtake the US in 2028."

"China will overtake the United States to become the world's biggest economy in 2028."

Will China's GDP Overtake the US, And If So When?

Andrew Ng

Eric Schmidt

Chuck Schumer

Brad Smith

Nestor Maslej

Ruth Porat

Ylli Bajraktari

Bruegel

National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence

Brandon J. Weichert

Clement Delangue

Zhou Hongyi

Joseph Tsai

Huey-Meei Chang

Craig S. Smith

Jeffrey Ding

Ray Perrault

Susana Martinez

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John Rush

"I think, today, [China is] probably two years behind the top [AI] models [from the US]."

"Where China sits [in AI], I think, is very far behind the US."

"The United States is in a strong position to win the essential [AI] race with China."

"China will dominate AI."

"The combination with China's self-made chips + AI infrastructure stack will put China ahead of the US."

China would "undoubtedly come out on top [in the US-China AI race]."

"[I]t seems like the United States is really far ahead [when it comes to generative AI]."

"China will lead the world in AI development."

In 2025, "China will start to lead the AI race (as a consequence of leading the open-source AI race)."

Will China Surpass the US in AI?

U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping began bilateral talks at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on May 14, 2026, marking their seventh face-to-face meeting and Trump's first visit to China since November 2017.

U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping began bilateral talks at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on May 14, 2026, marking their seventh face-to-face meeting and Trump's first visit to China since November 2017.

Xi opened the summit by warning that Taiwan remains "the most important issue in China-US relations" and that if mishandled, the two nations could "collide or even come into conflict," pushing bilateral ties into a "very dangerous situation."

Xi opened the summit by warning that Taiwan remains "the most important issue in China-US relations" and that if mishandled, the two nations could "collide or even come into conflict," pushing bilateral ties into a "very dangerous situation."

Trump arrived in Beijing with a delegation of roughly a dozen top U.S. executives, including the CEOs of Apple, Tesla, Goldman Sachs, Boeing, Blackstone, Nvidia and Qualcomm, with talks expected to cover aerospace, agriculture and energy.

Trump arrived in Beijing with a delegation of roughly a dozen top U.S. executives, including the CEOs of Apple, Tesla, Goldman Sachs, Boeing, Blackstone, Nvidia and Qualcomm, with talks expected to cover aerospace, agriculture and energy.

Xi told Trump that trade teams from both countries had reached "a generally balanced and positive outcome" during preliminary meetings in South Korea, where U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent met Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng ahead of the summit.

Xi told Trump that trade teams from both countries had reached "a generally balanced and positive outcome" during preliminary meetings in South Korea, where U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent met Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng ahead of the summit.

White House officials said a potential trade framework under discussion could involve "double-digit billion" levels of commerce, including possible Chinese purchase commitments for U.S. aircraft and agricultural products, along with a proposed "Board of Trade" and "Board of Investment."

White House officials said a potential trade framework under discussion could involve "double-digit billion" levels of commerce, including possible Chinese purchase commitments for U.S. aircraft and agricultural products, along with a proposed "Board of Trade" and "Board of Investment."

Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Washington would press Beijing for help on the Iran crisis, noting Chinese ships were stranded in the Persian Gulf after a Chinese cargo vessel was struck. Beijing has sought to position itself as a potential mediator in the conflict.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Washington would press Beijing for help on the Iran crisis, noting Chinese ships were stranded in the Persian Gulf after a Chinese cargo vessel was struck. Beijing has sought to position itself as a potential mediator in the conflict.

Trump, Xi Hold Summit in Beijing Amid Trade Talks

Trump, Xi Hold Summit in Beijing Amid Trade Talks

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