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Axios

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The New York Times

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Atlantic

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Metaculus

Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030

Donald Trump

Marco Rubio

J.D. Vance

Esmaeil Baghaei

Rafael Mariano Grossi

John Ratcliffe

Tulsi Gabbard

Nicholas L. Miller

Spencer Faragasso

Darya Dolzikova

Andrea Stricker

Sean Parnell

David Albright

Israel Atomic Energy Commission

"If it [the stockpile of enriched uranium] is intact and Iran is able to keep it that way, they could potentially use it in a new covert enrichment facility to produce material for several nuclear weapons in a matter of months."

"I can say to the American people with great confidence that they [Iranians] are much further away from a nuclear program today than they were 24 hours ago."

"Our nuclear installations have been badly damaged, that's for sure."

"Israel's and U.S. attacks have effectively destroyed Iran's centrifuge enrichment program."

"The American strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, combined with Israeli strikes on other elements of Iran's military nuclear program, has set back Iran's ability to develop nuclear weapons by many years."

"Iran's key nuclear enrichment facilities have been completely and totally obliterated."

Have US Strikes Set Back Iran's Nuclear Program?

Clay Fuller

Shawn Harris

"We should not put ground troops on the ground because this is not a war we should be in."

"Our country is safer because of what President Trump has done regarding Iran."

Where Do Candidates Stand on US Involvement in the Iran War?

U.S. intelligence assessments indicate Iran has regained operational access to 30 of its 33 missile sites along the Strait of Hormuz and retains roughly 70% of its prewar missile stockpile, findings that contradict public assertions by Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth that Iran's military was "decimated."

U.S. intelligence assessments indicate Iran has regained operational access to 30 of its 33 missile sites along the Strait of Hormuz and retains roughly 70% of its prewar missile stockpile, findings that contradict public assertions by Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth that Iran's military was "decimated."

Trump departed for Beijing on Tuesday to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping, saying he would "finish the job" against Iran if a deal was not reached, while describing the ceasefire as being on "massive life support." Iran's chief negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said Washington must accept Tehran's 14-point proposal or face "failure."

Trump departed for Beijing on Tuesday to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping, saying he would "finish the job" against Iran if a deal was not reached, while describing the ceasefire as being on "massive life support." Iran's chief negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said Washington must accept Tehran's 14-point proposal or face "failure."

The Pentagon put the cost of the U.S. war against Iran at approximately $29 billion — around $4 billion more than the figure provided to Congress two weeks prior. The U.S. Energy Department also raised its forecast for retail gas prices to an average of $3.88 per gallon for the year.

The Pentagon put the cost of the U.S. war against Iran at approximately $29 billion — around $4 billion more than the figure provided to Congress two weeks prior. The U.S. Energy Department also raised its forecast for retail gas prices to an average of $3.88 per gallon for the year.

Saudi Arabia covertly launched retaliatory strikes on Iran in late March, according to two Western and two Iranian officials, marking the first known instance of the kingdom conducting direct military action on Iranian soil. The UAE also carried out undisclosed strikes on Iran, including a hit on Iran's Lavan Island refinery around the time of the April 8 ceasefire.

Saudi Arabia covertly launched retaliatory strikes on Iran in late March, according to two Western and two Iranian officials, marking the first known instance of the kingdom conducting direct military action on Iranian soil. The UAE also carried out undisclosed strikes on Iran, including a hit on Iran's Lavan Island refinery around the time of the April 8 ceasefire.

Iran set five preconditions for resuming nuclear talks with the U.S., including a complete end to the war on all fronts, the lifting of all sanctions, the release of frozen assets, compensation for war-related damages and formal recognition of Iranian sovereign rights over the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran set five preconditions for resuming nuclear talks with the U.S., including a complete end to the war on all fronts, the lifting of all sanctions, the release of frozen assets, compensation for war-related damages and formal recognition of Iranian sovereign rights over the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran's economy has contracted sharply since the war began, with the IMF forecasting a 6-percentage-point shrinkage, annual inflation at 53.7% and food inflation exceeding 115%. The Iranian rial has lost more than half its value in the past year, falling to a record low of 1.9 million to the dollar.

Iran's economy has contracted sharply since the war began, with the IMF forecasting a 6-percentage-point shrinkage, annual inflation at 53.7% and food inflation exceeding 115%. The Iranian rial has lost more than half its value in the past year, falling to a record low of 1.9 million to the dollar.

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