China holds a decisive edge heading into the Beijing summit — rare earth dominance, a crumbling U.S. tariff strategy, and the Iran war have gutted Washington's leverage. Beijing has already forced Trump to fold twice on rare earth threats, and federal courts keep striking down his tariff tools. Xi arrives calm and confident, buying time to consolidate China's technological and industrial position while the U.S. scrambles.
The media narrative that Xi holds all the cards is flat-out wrong — China's economy is buckling under demographic decline, unsustainable debt and an export-dependent growth model that needs Western markets to survive. Trump has real leverage: tariff threats, currency manipulator designations and sanctions on Chinese banks are all on the table. Any deal struck should reflect American strength, not defensive concessions.
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