Russia Declares Ukraine Ceasefire for Victory Day

Published MAY 5

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Above: A Ukrainian soldier prepares the P1-Sun interceptor drone for flight in Donetsk Oblast on April 29. Image credit: Alex Nikitenko/Global Images Ukraine/Getty Images

The Spin

Russia's so-called Victory Day ceasefire is a propaganda stunt, not a peace move — launching massive missile and drone strikes on Ukrainian energy infrastructure while demanding a pause for parade optics exposes the bad faith at the core of the Kremlin's offer. A real ceasefire doesn't come with an expiration date tied to a military parade. Russia can stop firing at any moment, and the fact that it hasn't proves the truce offer is theater.

Ukrainska Pravda Financial Times

Trump's direct diplomacy with Putin produced a concrete result — a unilateral Russian ceasefire declaration for May 8-9 — something years of globalist foreign policy never managed to deliver. The EU;s endless blank checks kept the war going, while America First engagement is actually moving the needle toward peace. Real results beat performative solidarity every time.

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Metaculus Prediction

There is a 50% chance there will be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict by Oct. 28, 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.