Russia's so-called Victory Day ceasefire is a propaganda stunt, not a peace move — launching massive missile and drone strikes on Ukrainian energy infrastructure while demanding a pause for parade optics exposes the bad faith at the core of the Kremlin's offer. A real ceasefire doesn't come with an expiration date tied to a military parade. Russia can stop firing at any moment, and the fact that it hasn't proves the truce offer is theater.
Trump's direct diplomacy with Putin produced a concrete result — a unilateral Russian ceasefire declaration for May 8-9 — something years of globalist foreign policy never managed to deliver. The EU;s and endless blank checks kept the war going, while America First engagement is actually moving the needle toward peace. Real results beat performative solidarity every time.
There is a 50% chance there will be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict by Oct. 28, 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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