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US Senate Bans Members and Staff From Betting in Prediction Markets

Are legislators doing the right thing or should they be doing more to tackle insider trading?
US Senate Bans Members and Staff From Betting in Prediction Markets
Above: The U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C., on April 22. Image credit: Eric Lee/Bloomberg/Getty Images

The Spin


Pro-establishment narrative

Preventing Senate members and their staff from profiting on wagers on prediction markets is a step in the right direction. The House now needs to pass similar measures for its members, alongside all other federally elected officials and government employees.

Establishment-critical narrative

While preventing officials from betting on wars, economic issues and other areas that they may have a hand in influencing is invariably a good thing, it is curious how they have failed to pass legislation to prevent the use of insider information in stock trading.


Metaculus Prediction

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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.4.1

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.4.1