Switzerland is right to reject Palestinian state recognition. With Hamas in control of Gaza, the Palestinian Authority lacks unified governing power, meaning Palestine lacks the basic legal requirements for statehood. Jumping ahead of that reality wouldn't advance peace, but it would undermine Switzerland's credibility as a neutral mediator.
To date, 148 of 193 countries have recognized Palestine, with major Western nations, including France, Spain and the U.K., having recently joined that movement. Switzerland's refusal makes it both an outlier and an enabler of the Israeli government, which will abuse its reluctance to reject a two-state solution and expand its illegal settlements.
There is a 5% chance that the Gaza war will end and significant progress will be made towards a two-state solution before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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