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Snapshot 8:Wed, Apr 22, 2026 10:55:00 AM GMT last edited by Kani

Iraq: Trump Blocks Dollar Shipments to Curb Iran-Backed Militias

Iraq: Trump FreezesBlocks IraqDollar FundsShipments to Curb Iran-Backed Militias

Iraq: Trump Blocks Dollar Shipments to Curb Iran-Backed Militias
Above: A man counts US dollar banknotes at al-Kifah stock market in Baghdad on December 27, 2022 as the value of Iraqi dinar against US dollar drops further. Image credit: Ahmad Al-Rubaye/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin


Freezing Iraq's oil revenue is the right call — Iran-backed militias have launched hundreds of attacks on U.S. embassies, troops and diplomatic facilities, and Baghdad has done nothing to stop them. Nearly 95 percent of Iraq's federal budget comes from oil revenue held in U.S. accounts, giving the Trump administration real leverage to demand accountability. Until Iraq arrests militia members and forms a government free of Iranian influence, cutting off that cash is the most effective tool available.

Freezing Iraq’s funds risks further destabilizing Baghdad rather than solving the militia problem — a blunt Trump-era pressure tactic that overlooks how Iran-aligned PMF factions are deeply embedded in the state, draw government salaries and operate beyond central control. Financial coercion ends up punishing a government for actions it cannot realistically control or contain on its own. Squeezing Iraq this way ultimately risks handing Tehran exactly the opening it needs to reassert influence.

Washington’s push to freeze Iraq’s funds exposes a pattern of external control overriding Iraqi sovereignty, echoing the post-2003 order shaped by the U.S.-led invasion, just as Baghdad edgesmoves closer to a breakthrough in government formation breakthrough. UsingFinancial financial chokeholds whilepunish armed factions remain structurally embedded in the state punishes the country without addressing the underlying system, turning economic policy into blunt geopolitical leverage. This kind of pressure risks derailing fragile progress and reinforcing the very instability it claims to prevent.


Metaculus Prediction

There is a 27% chance that Iraq will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.4.1

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.4.1