Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election

Folha de S. Paulo

Lula tem 39% no 1 turno, e Flvio Bolsonaro aparece com 35%

Jovem Pan

PL abre vestibular para vice de Flvio e deve ter definio em junho

Valor International

Analysis: Lula hit by Iran war in new poll

VickyRichterUSA

The Associated Press

Lula keeps Alckmin as his running mate for Brazil’s general election in October

NewsLiberdade

Brasil 247

Lula mantm dianteira no Datafolha apesar da presso da direita

ggreenwald

CNN Brazil

Pesquisa CNT/MDA: Lula tem 44,9%, e Flvio, 40,2% no 2 turno

Kalshi

Who will win the Brazil presidential election?

Estadão

CNT/MDA: no 2 turno, Lula aparece com 44,9% e Flvio Bolsonaro tem 40,2%

Reuters

Lula narrowly ahead of Flavio Bolsonaro in potential Brazilian runoff, poll shows

Carta Capital

Os nmeros da disputa presidencial, segundo a nova pesquisa Genial/Quaest

The Rio Times

Datafolha: Flvio Bolsonaro Leads Lula in 2026 Runoff

Bloomberg

Flavio Bolsonaro Takes Slim Lead Over Lula In Brazil Runoff Poll

Agência Brasil

Moraes abre ao contra Flvio Bolsonaro por suposta calnia a Lula

zerohedge

Al Jazeera

Brazils police open a probe into presidential candidate Flavio Bolsonaro

Metaculus

Will Lula be reelected in 2026?

Prediction markets place Flávio Bolsonaro ahead of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in Brazil's October 2026 presidential race, with one platform showing Bolsonaro at 41% and Lula at 40%, and another giving Bolsonaro a 46% to 42% edge.

Prediction markets place Flávio Bolsonaro ahead of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in Brazil's October 2026 presidential race, with one platform showing Bolsonaro at 41% and Lula at 40%, and another giving Bolsonaro a 46% to 42% edge.

A Genial/Quaest survey of 2,004 people conducted April 9-14 showed Lula leading the first round with 37% to Bolsonaro's 32%, while a runoff simulation put Bolsonaro narrowly ahead at 42% to Lula's 40%, within the poll's 2-percentage-point margin of error.

A Genial/Quaest survey of 2,004 people conducted April 9-14 showed Lula leading the first round with 37% to Bolsonaro's 32%, while a runoff simulation put Bolsonaro narrowly ahead at 42% to Lula's 40%, within the poll's 2-percentage-point margin of error.

A CNT/MDA poll of 2,002 people conducted April 8-12 across 140 municipalities showed Lula leading Bolsonaro 44.9% to 40.2% in a runoff simulation, contrasting with other recent surveys that showed the two candidates statistically tied.

A CNT/MDA poll of 2,002 people conducted April 8-12 across 140 municipalities showed Lula leading Bolsonaro 44.9% to 40.2% in a runoff simulation, contrasting with other recent surveys that showed the two candidates statistically tied.

A Datafolha poll conducted April 7-9 among 2,004 voters put Bolsonaro at 46% against Lula's 45% in a runoff simulation — the first time in the series that Lula trailed numerically — compared to a March survey that had Lula leading 46% to 43%.

A Datafolha poll conducted April 7-9 among 2,004 voters put Bolsonaro at 46% against Lula's 45% in a runoff simulation — the first time in the series that Lula trailed numerically — compared to a March survey that had Lula leading 46% to 43%.

Brazil's Supreme Court authorized the Federal Police to investigate Senator Flávio Bolsonaro over posts he published in January linking President Lula to crimes including drug trafficking, following a request from the Federal Police backed by the attorney general's office. Police have 60 days to complete their initial inquiry.

ZeroHedge

Brazil's Supreme Court authorized the Federal Police to investigate Senator Flávio Bolsonaro over posts he published in January linking President Lula to crimes including drug trafficking, following a request from the Federal Police backed by the attorney general's office. Police have 60 days to complete their initial inquiry.

Lula confirmed he will again run with Vice President Geraldo Alckmin, a center-right politician, while Bolsonaro's camp is conducting roughly 60 days of polling to select a running mate, with the Progressistas party considered the likely source of the pick.

SPACE LIBERDADE

Lula confirmed he will again run with Vice President Geraldo Alckmin, a center-right politician, while Bolsonaro's camp is conducting roughly 60 days of polling to select a running mate, with the Progressistas party considered the likely source of the pick.

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