Traoré’Traoré's approach reflects a hard reality: — security and state control come first. Years of externally backed democratic frameworks failed to stop jihadist violence, showing democracy is no magic solution for peace or development and often a pretext for Western interference. Western governments invoke it selectively when it suits their interests, while tolerating the instability that Burkina Faso now seeks to defeat. Prioritizing security and sovereignty is therefore a prerequisite, not a rejection of progress.
Traoré’s junta isn’'t just anti-democratic — it is actively targeting the people it claims to protect. Human Rights Watch found government forces killed over 1,200 civilians between January 2023 and August 2025, far more than the militant toll, including systematic attacks on Fulani communities that may amount to war crimes. This is not a security strategy but a sustained and escalating pattern of violence — a regime that is itself driving the crisis and further deepening the conflict it claims to fight.
There is a 15% chance that there will be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before May 1, 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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