Metaculus

Us Iran Ceasefire Before May 2026

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U.S. President Donald Trump said on Thursday that he's extending <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2026/trump-pauses-iran-strikes-amid-nuclear-deal-talks">a pause of strikes on Iran's energy facilities</a> for a period of 10 days, stating that talks with Iran to end the war are "going very well."

Donald Trump

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Thursday that he's extending a pause of strikes on Iran's energy facilities for a period of 10 days, stating that talks with Iran to end the war are "going very well."

In a post on his Truth Social account, Trump said: "As per Iranian Government request, please let this statement serve to represent that I am pausing the period of Energy Plant destruction by 10 Days to Monday, April 6, 2026, at 8 P.M., Eastern Time."

In a post on his Truth Social account, Trump said: "As per Iranian Government request, please let this statement serve to represent that I am pausing the period of Energy Plant destruction by 10 Days to Monday, April 6, 2026, at 8 P.M., Eastern Time."

"Talks are ongoing and, despite erroneous statements to the contrary by the Fake News Media, and others, they are going very well," he added.

"Talks are ongoing and, despite erroneous statements to the contrary by the Fake News Media, and others, they are going very well," he added.

The update came as reports indicated that Pakistan has emerged as a mediator and potential peace-broker between the nations. In a post on X, Ishaq Dar, Pakistan's foreign minister and deputy prime minister, confirmed that his country, alongside the assistance of Egypt and Turkey, shared a <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2026/iran-strikes-region-as-us-pushes-peace-deal">15-point framework for a settlement drafted by the U.S.</a> with Iran.

Ishaq Dar

The update came as reports indicated that Pakistan has emerged as a mediator and potential peace-broker between the nations. In a post on X, Ishaq Dar, Pakistan's foreign minister and deputy prime minister, confirmed that his country, alongside the assistance of Egypt and Turkey, shared a 15-point framework for a settlement drafted by the U.S. with Iran.

On Friday, German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul told domestic radio that the U.S. and Iran are preparing to have direct talks in Pakistan.

On Friday, German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul told domestic radio that the U.S. and Iran are preparing to have direct talks in Pakistan.

He said: "Based on my information, there have been indirect contacts, and preparations have been made to meet directly. That would be very soon in Pakistan, apparently."

He said: "Based on my information, there have been indirect contacts, and preparations have been made to meet directly. That would be very soon in Pakistan, apparently."

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Despite reports in the fake news media, talks with Iran are ongoing and are going very well. As a result, the U.S. is extending the pause on strikes of energy facilities for an additional 10 days.

Despite reports in the fake news media, talks with Iran are ongoing and are going very well. As a result, the U.S. is extending the pause on strikes of energy facilities for an additional 10 days.

Drawing parallels from the two previous rounds of talks during which Iran was attacked, the government views the latest attempt at negotiations as deceptive. The U.S. has no real interest in meaningful dialogue — only Iran will dictate the terms on which this war can end.

Drawing parallels from the two previous rounds of talks during which Iran was attacked, the government views the latest attempt at negotiations as deceptive. The U.S. has no real interest in meaningful dialogue — only Iran will dictate the terms on which this war can end.

There's a 15% chance that the U.S. and Iran will agree to a ceasefire before May 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There's a 15% chance that the U.S. and Iran will agree to a ceasefire before May 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

The US-Iran Conflict

Trump Extends Pause on Iran Energy Strikes, Says Talks Going 'Very Well'

Trump Extends Pause on Iran Energy Strikes, Says Talks Going 'Very Well'

Trump Extends Pause on Iran Energy Strikes, Says Talks Going 'Very Well'

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Trump Extends Pause on Iran Energy Strikes, Says Talks Going 'Very Well'

Trump Extends Pause on Iran Energy Strikes, Says Talks Going 'Very Well'

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