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Snapshot 15:Wed, Mar 11, 2026 5:00:58 PM GMT last edited by David

Ship Hit in Hormuz Amid Iran Mine Deployment

Ship Hit in Hormuz Amid Iran Mine Deployment

Ship Hit in Hormuz Amid Iran Mine Deployment
Above: A commercial ship is viewed anchored off the coast of the UAE in the Strait of Hormuz near Dubai on Mar. 2, 2026. Image credit: Stringer/Anadolu/Getty Images

The Spin

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Metaculus Prediction

There is a 35% chance that the US and Iran will agree to a ceasefire before May 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0